Fin gps Security Review

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[ROLEPLAY] AIM-261 CorkSCREW

2019.12.17 03:46 King_of_Anything [ROLEPLAY] AIM-261 CorkSCREW

THE DRIVE

THE WAR ZONE MOTORCYCLES REVIEWS

THE WARZONE

Meet the American Republic’s Next-Generation Long-Range Air-To-Air Missile

Concerns of supply chain fragility drive ASDF and ANG acquisition of Raytheon missile replacements

AIM-261 CorkSCREW

BY JOSEPH TREVITHICK JANUARY 21, 2039
After decades in development, Raytheon has unveiled its long-awaited AIM-261 CorkSCREW®, the primary deliverable of the classified Long-Range Engagement Weapon (LREW) Programme announced in 2017. Focused on maintaining air supremacy, the Cork Standoff Combat Range Engagement Weapon (CorkSCREW®) long-range air-to-air missile is designed as the definitive successor for the AIM-120 AMRAAM. The company has announced the American Republic Aerial States Defence Force and various state Air National Guard outfits as exclusive operators for the weapon's initial run, with the CorkSCREW® set to enter service in early 2039. With all elements of the sole-sourced missile's supply chain produced locally within the autonomous states, Raytheon claims the AIM-261 offers a superior, "home-brewed" alternative to the AIM-260 JATM currently in service with American Republic air forces.
 
Contact the author: joe[at]thedrive.com

Raytheon

Long-Range Engagement Weapon Program

CLASSIFIED TOP SECRET

AIM-261 CorkSCREW® (Standoff Combat Range Engagement Weapon) Specifications

For your eyes only
To maximize weight for propellant, the AIM-261 CorkSCREW® features a unique two-stage missile design, consisting of an intermediate-range air-to-air missile married to a folding-fin modular rocket booster. The primary stage is derived from Raytheon’s smaller Peregrine air-to-air missile, but is instead powered by a variable flow ducted rocket. The missile’s hybrid air-augmented rocket engine allows the booster-less missile to achieve ranges in excess of 160 km and a terminal intercept velocity as high as Mach 5 under its own power. The AIM-261 also marks the debut of the company’s fluidic thrust vectoring technologies on a missile platform, allowing the supermaneuverable weapon to quickly adjust its flight path even during its terminal navigation phase. While operated primarily as a hit-to-kill missile, the CorkSCREW® payload doubles as a high-explosive directional blast fragmentation warhead, with the missile’s internal software responsible for autonomously selecting a 3D detonation vector against hostile targets.
The Peregrine’s seeker head has also been replaced by a more-advanced multi-mode seeker, combining a Raytheon-developed 4k-resolution heat-seeking optical imaging infrared focal plane array with a proprietary X-band ARH monopulse antenna and 8x8 MIMO Millimeter-wave Radar. Targeting via helmet-mounted sights also allows the missile to perform high-off-boresight launches against targets within visual range. Additionally, the CorkSCREW® features advanced passive homing capabilities for the intercept of active radar-emitting targets, allowing it to serve as a frontline air-to-air anti-radiation missile, and can also operate autonomously via the use of inertial and satellite navigation. The seeker includes GDLS BAMS encrypted data links to facilitate high-speed secured communications between each CorkSCREW®, its launch platform, and other assets within the local engagement theatre. To offset high temperatures while operating at near-hypersonic/hypersonic speeds, the AIM-261 mounts a drag-reducing aerospike onto a frangible nose cone.
As a highly-modular weapons system, the weapon’s secondary stage consists of a replaceable booster unit that can vary the AIM-261’s range without impacting core missile systems (such as the warhead, datalink, seeker, or autopilot). Thus, the CorkSCREW® can be easily reconfigured into an intermediate, long, or very-long range missile by the installation of a different booster section. Likewise, each missile’s booster can also be sized up or down depending on the limitations of its delivery platform, circumventing restrictions on sizing caused by the limited dimensions of 5th-generation internal weapons bays. This also would allow aircraft without these restrictions to carry extremely long-range versions of the same basic missile.
Each AIM-261 booster is built around a scaleable multiple pulse solid-fuel rocket motor that is used to extend the weapon’s speed and range. This two-stage approach enhances end-game kinematic performance of the payload weapon, while the booster’s rocket engine dynamically optimizes thrust and velocity based on trajectory while in flight. For the largest booster module, the CorkSCREW® climbs to a height in the upper atmosphere where friction and drag are minimized, allowing it to achieve longer ranges, higher speeds, and steeper trajectories against hostile targets.
The AIM-261 CorkSCREW® is designed for air-launch in the following modes:
  • Intermediate-range = Stock stage 1 missile without booster module, 160 km range. Dimensions comparable to Peregrine missile, can also replace AIM-9 Sidewinder in AAW applications.
  • Long-range = Lightweight multi-pulse rocket booster, 250 km range at Mach 4 supercruise, with Mach 5 terminal intercept against targets operating at altitudes between 0 to 25-27 km. Dimensions comparable to AIM-120 AMRAAM missile, compatible with F-22, F-35, and F-15Z/EZ internal weapons bays.
  • Very-long-range = Heavyweight multi-pulse rocket booster, 400 km range, conducts top-attack intercept of hostile aircraft. 2000 lbs munition sized for the internal bays of the F-35 Lightning II and various strategic bombers, including the B-21 Raider, B-2 Spirit, and B-52 Stratofortress. Given its high-altitude operation and supermaneuverability, this variant can also be used for terminal ABM defence, with capabilities comparable to the RIM-174 Standard ERAM.
The AIM-261 CorkSCREW® is set to enter service exclusively with the American Republic’s state Air National Guard units and the Aerial States Defence Force, and is expected to eventually supplant the competing AIM-260 JATM and the aging AIM-120 AMRAAM after stockpiles of these missiles have been depleted.
[M] Permission was granted by _irk to complete this Project in RP.
submitted by King_of_Anything to worldpowers [link] [comments]


2019.08.29 20:19 kevinn145 DIY "Ranger Mount" for Greenworks VnR on half fenders + mini general review of VnR

DIY
- As always long DIY article ahead warning -
- If you are just here for the mini review of VnR just scroll to the end -
So this thread isn't going to talk about the different methods of range extending, instead this is a very specific project that applies to those who are using Greenworks 60V batteries on their XRs and want to mount it like the Ranger Mount.
For those who don't know, the Ranger Mount is made by Matt from Landsurf. Super awesome product but was designed for the EGO batteries.
There are plenty of people using the Greenworks 60V 5.0Ah on the XR, and most of them use either the fender kit or the backpack kit from Sonnywheels.com(he is currently on vacation and his website is down as of the writing of this thread) Personally for me I don't have a problem with backpack battery set ups, but there are times where I have to wear other backpacks to work or some occasions where I can not fit the greenworks battery into my backpack. So fender mount is the better option for me.
But then I quickly run into 2 problems when it comes to fender mount.
  1. I don't like that I have to use a full fender to mount the battery. I already barely ride with fender, if I must do I'm going to use the Sidewinder from OWarmor (I would recommend the flight fender since it's more rigid, but it's more expensive and I already have the sidewinder anyways. Your choice.)
  2. I don't like the look of using velcro straps that hooks onto the fender. No offense to Sonny. Seriously I love that dude, helped me out A TON with this project. But I just don't love the look and most importantly if I'm using the sidewinder I can't use the velcro straps anyways.
So basically my goal of this DIY "Ranger Mount" is to have
  1. Ability to mount the GW battery on a half fender
  2. Ability to mount the GW battery WITHOUT the use of velcro straps
Anyways lets get started. Here are the list of things you need.
THE OBVIOUS, things you should already have for Greenworks VnR in general
  1. Greenworks 60V 5.0Ah battery. You can get 4.0Ah or the 2.5Ah but honestly if you want more range in the first place get the bigger battery.
  2. Positap set up that taps into the board and extends out to the XT60. Again you can pick this up at Sonnywheels.com Here is the instructional video by him.
  3. A wire that connects the +/- ends of the battery to an XT60 connector. If you have the Sonny kit you will have this piece. If you don't have the Sonny kit you can easily make it by connecting the XT60 connector to two piece of Copper (Pictures below that shows it)
  4. Fender of your choice. You can use this DIY "Ranger Mount" on full fender too if you don't like using straps.
Things you need for the DIY "Ranger Mount"
  1. 3D printed battery holder. BIG BIG shout out to "patrickdenis" from thingiverse for the design!
  2. A couple bolts & nuts. Pics below for the exact part number.
  3. [Optional] Sticky adhesive pads. You don't really need it if you are using full fender. For the sidewinder yes. Also it's just nice to have so the stress wouldn't be on just four bolts (assuming not using any velcro straps)
  4. [Optional]40A circuit breaker. Now there are tons of people who connect the GW or EGO battery to their Onewheels and never had any problems what so ever. I'm not adding a circuit breaker for protection (altho it's nice to have) but it's mainly to act as a On/Off switch to connect and disconnect the external battery rather than physically plugging and unplugging the XT60 all the time.
    1. The circuit breaker also eliminated the sparking issue with XT60s. For those who don't know, if you plug your external battery straight into the posi-tap side XT60, some times it will spark. I haven't seen any destructive horror stories, and the spark is suppose to be "normal" just like how when you plug in your XLR charger into your Onewheel. But having the breaker you can now connect the XT60s, and the flip the switch on the breaker. Eliminating any kind of sparks!

3D Printed holder by Coby Manufacturing
The 3D printed battery holder is obviously the key of the entire project. Here are some tips on printing it.
  1. Print in TPU or anything flexible. You can not print in PLA or rigid filament or the battery won't fit or won't fit tight.
  2. I printed mine at 50% infill even tho the suggested was only 20%. Honestly 20% might be okay but it's holding a heavy battery by friction it's better to have it more dense.
  3. If you don't have an access to a 3D printer, you can reach out to Coby Manufacturing. The owner also Onewheels and makes a bunch of awesome 3D printed products for OW in general. I reached out to him because I didn't have any TPU to print. Costed me $50 shipped which is very reasonable. Cody is very professional at keeping me updated and ensuring the product came out perfectly. Highly recommend!
Cable connecting XT60 to a + and - on a short copper piece
If you have the Sonny kit(like me) then you already have this. You just have to cut through it and pull the copper piece through the slot to free it.
Take a cutting plier or just scissor and break it out. Sonny uses hot glue to hold them in place so some twisting force easily breaks it free. (Notice the I put a little white mark on one cable to indicate the positive, just for convenience)

Washer. Bolt. Nuts
Part numbers.
Don't get the wing nuts. I originally thought having wing nuts is nice so I can tighten it on the field is anything comes loose. But it ended up not having enough "dynamic clearance." Meaning that I can ride flat paved roads without rubbing but every time you do a drop or hit a bump the fender will flex and hit/rub the tire. This is mainly the fault of the sidewinder being too flexible, but yeah I ended up swapping it to regular nuts.
Adhesive friction pad. One side is adhesive, and one side is highly grippy surface. More on this later.
Circuit breaker. Sorry for the blurry pic I didn't notice it lol. I have 6 gauge wires on the side already. Installation is very easy, just open the side cap, put the wire in, secure the wire, put the cap back. Remember to strip the wire first obviously.

Okay lets get started.

If you are adding the circuit breaker. Take the XT60 to copper piece. Cut the + wire in half and solder the circuit breaker in between. Wire this however you want and keep in mind on the final position on where you want to place the circuit breaker.
This is when using a 6 gauge wire isn't the best idea because it's a huge pain in the ass to solder if you don't have a high output solder gun (like me). Not a deal breaker, it just takes longer to heat up the area evenly. Be patient, you don't want any cold solders. A heat shrink covers every thing up nicely.
Sorry for the feet lol. This is how I want the final position to be. I'm just using velcro tape to hold the circuit breaker on top of the holder. Not the strongest method but I didn't want to drill a hole into the holder.
I used some liquid electrical tape to secure the ends of the copper blade and also for water protection. If you don't have liquid tape hot glue will do just fine.
This isn't dried yet. When it dries all the bumps and lumps will smooth out.
Second part of this is to get the fender ready. Which is also super easy. Put the 3D printed holder on your fender. Use a pencil or sharpie to mark the 4 screw holes and drill up the holes!
I would drill the hole just slightly larger than your bolt size. The curved surface makes the bolt slightly harder to fit through the 3D print holder, the adhesive pad, and the fender.
Use scissor to trim the adhesive pad to fit. Sandwich it between the 3D print holder and the fender. I put the adhesive side on the fender and the grippy side against the 3D print holder. I don't know if it makes a difference. Probably not.
Final product should look something like this. It isn't as large as it seems. The small half fender makes the battery looks huge.
As you can see from the picture below, you have plenty of clearance using the wing nuts. But because the sidewinder is too flexible it will "swing around" every time you hit a bump.Also another immediate con of using the sidewinder is that you obviously can't do narrow stance. Doesn't affect me, but if you have a narrow stance you will want to use a full fender and move the battery up.
SEND system is recommended but not required. Also big shout out to Vache for the awesome paracord handle design!

And that's it!!! Well kind of.

I did my first test run and everything was fine. I was riding fast, breaking fast, carving really hard, doing 180s. The 3d printed holder was was holding up really well!
....... until I decided to do a curb drop and the BAM the battery flew off😂😂. Slide the battery back on and try it again. BAM! battery flew off again. Found a small 3 inch curb. BAM! battery flew off again 😂😂😂
You can see the rubbing marks of the wing nuts and also the longer bolt. This pic was taken about a 4 miles into the ride.
So I ended up have to add 2 velcro straps across the battery for extra security.
https://preview.redd.it/amc332zp0cj31.jpg?width=3024&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=0d2e0a41b9bd97c3aec0318299e0784631172343
This solved all the problem. I did a taller drop; went off some serious bumpy grass field; went through some gnarly trails; went through a 30 miles off road canal group ride! And the battery was tight as if it was glue down! I didn't get a chance to record videos of the 30 mile group ride. But if you are in the OWOG, or OWR FB groups you can easily search up the posts. Here is one of them by Brian Lindy! and one from Tom Pagut!
One last thing I did was to use a dremel to cut of the extra length of the bolt as it was also rubbing the tire when the fender flexes too much. Again this is likely the sidewinder's fault, use other fenders and you probably won't have this problem. The bolt I use was 25mm in length. You can use 20mm but I find that to be just a tad short. The adhesive pad adds about 1~1.5mm of thickness. So if you skip the adhesive pad then the 20mm would be perfect.
After this I tried to push the fender towards the tire as hard as I can and it doesn't even touch the tire.
Now before you start talking shit about me for riding stock footpad. I did it because my Kush Hi was still under modification at that time. You can read that post here.
The red wire, kind of, almost, maybe, blends in with the pink scheme. I would peel off all the green sticker from the battery for a cleaner look.

NOW THE REVIEW?! AFTER 300 MILES, WAS IT WORTH IT?

Well if you are asking is Greenworks VnR worth it? Yes worth every single penny.
  1. The increase torque is very noticeable, especially at the high 75-100% range. I no longer push for fast 20+mph speed bc I love my life. But in practice you will be able to push past pushback for longer. (pushback still occurs at same speed since it's software controlled)
  2. What was really noticeable for me was that there are practically no surges. Riding hills and climbing over rocks and roots are SIGNIFICANTLY easier. Those obstacles, that I could normally get over it but required a large surge to push it, are now an easy hop and I'm over it. The only time you will get a surge is the time when a non-VnR board wouldn't be able to make it. Basically you always have an extra 10%(made up number idk what it really is) more torque.
  3. I weigh about 160lbs, rides FF treaded tire, 25psi. Regular riding (medium/hard carving, top speed 18mph, lots of start&stop traffic lights, 80%pave 20% dirt) I was able to get 30 miles (I usually get about 14miles without the extended battery. I've seen people who gets 40+ miles. If you weight around 160, ride slick, higher psi, you should be able to get that 35~40 no problem.
    1. It's more like I get 28~29 miles. But I was able to juice out an extra 1ish mile but turning the board off and on. Ride a little until it cuts off, turn it off and on... repeat.
  4. The ability to charge the whole thing with your regular XR charger is nice. Yes it does take 3.5~4h to fully charge(green light) but you also get double the ride time/range so that make sense. For the fastest charging, charge your GW battery using a separate charger. But you have to make sure the external and internal are at similar level before you connect them together (flip the switch on the circuit breaker). This is why charging with one XR charger is nice because it keeps both batteries at the same level.
  5. Do note that once you reach green light, you should disconnect the external. I'm not 100% sure on this and I don't think there has been enough case study on this to begin with. BUT when the internal reaches 100% and the XR BMS starts doing it's cell balancing, it won't recognize the external battery; hence it might cause problem down the line. I've seen post of people who just leave it in to charger over night and have no problems. But I do it just because I think it'll be beneficial?? Up to you for what you want. Having that circuit breaker makes connecting/disconnecting the external battery super easy.

Now the review of my DIY "Ranger Mount" Was it worth it?

Yes for me. But might not be for you. This DIY project is very easy to assemble, but some what resource intensive. You need a soldering iron, drill, dremel, and lots of random tools. I mean these are all pretty basic DIY equipments, if you do a lot of DIY stuff these should be very familiar to you already. But I do understand that the cost of this project will be A LOT higher if I have taken into account of the price of the tools.
The hardest part of this project was to gather all the pieces and information. The 3D printed holder took about 2 weeks, getting the proper wires, getting the right circuit breaker, finding the right place to put the circuit breaker, the best way to attach everything together, realizing wing nuts won't work, realizing eventually Velcro was still needed...etc

To answer some questions about fender mount.

  • Does it affect riding stance?
    • Yes only if you are using a half fender. Basically no narrow stance for me, which I don't ride narrow anyways. If you use a full fender you can mount the battery higher, then you won't have stance issue.
  • Does it affect board feel?
    • A tiny bit but you get used to it. The GW battery weighs around 4.5lbs I think. My whole set up weights less than 6lbs (probably less if you just use the Sonny kit rather than doing this holder like me) It does feel a tiny bit heavier when you first hop onto it, but its not significant enough that it will affect riding style. I can still carve hard, do sharp turns, curb drops, 180s...etc just like a normal board. It's kind of like riding a stock board vs a fully modded board with flight fins, V3 plates, cobra pads...etc the weight is noticeable but you get used to it after 1-2 miles.
  • How heavy is it totally?
    • The board is significantly heavier to carry by hand. Probably also due to it being "unbalance" (battery toward one end). Not a deal breaker obviously, in general you should try to avoid carrying your OW as much as possible anyway. A side handle helps a lot.
  • Does it work as "makeshift" flight fins?
    • I feel stupid to say this, but actually yes. I mean you don't get the secureness of actual fins, and you don't get to do really high jumps. But if say you are doing a drop or a sharp turn where you need something to brace your foot, this set up actually works wonderfully. When I ride trails sometimes I brace my foot to the battery so that 1.) it reduces the sidewinder from flopping too much and 2.) my foot doesn't move even if I straight up run over 5 roots in a row.
  • How does it handle tumbles?
    • Better than I thought! I had my board rolled down grass hill and it was working fine! Only thing was the velcro tape holding the circuit breaker came loose a bit but just stick it back and I was back on track.
  • Is the board more stable?
    • Ummmm yes? The theory behind this is that the more weight you have on a vehicle the more momentum there is which makes it more stable.(OBV there are a lot of other factors but if all else equal I guess this is true) Like I said the weight is not very noticeable after you get use to it. So maybe it is more stable, but I wouldn't say it's significant enough to act as a performance boost.
    • One thing that is definitely "more stable" is when you do drops. The extra weight makes the board falls faster, which I find it easier to land flat and straight. I not longer have awkward foot placement after landing a drop. Do note that since the tail is heavier, the tail will likely hit the floor first or at the same time as the tire. You can compensate this by leaning slightly forward the moment to leap off the edge. Or you know, you can just let the tail hit, and balance your self back.

I think that's pretty much it! Like I said this is a very easy DIY when it comes to assembly, just a bit harder to find all the right pieces. Hope this some what helps you and let me know if you have any questions!
submitted by kevinn145 to onewheel [link] [comments]


2018.08.20 14:33 rusticgorilla What We Learned in the Russia Probe: Week of Aug 12 - 18

Yet again, I’m playing with format changes. There is now a little more space between topic paragraphs. I’m unsure how this will display in the variety of Android and iPhone apps - please tell me if it’s annoying or unreadable.
I also added a Tl;dr section at the end - so if you need the main points in less than 10 sentences, skip to the end.
Housekeeping:
On to the review...
 

Week of Aug 12 - 18: What We Learned in the Russia Probe

 

Mueller investigation

McGahn cooperating. White House Counsel Don McGahn has cooperated “extensively” with Mueller’s investigation, sitting for at least three voluntary interviews totaling 30 hours. Sources report McGahn discussed multiple episodes involved in potential obstruction of justice charges, including Trump’s firing of Comey and pressuring of Sessions to revoke his own recusal from Russia probes.
 
Revoking clearances. Last week, Sarah Huckabee Sanders announced that Trump is revoking former CIA Director John Brennan’s security clearance. The original White House statement to do so was dated July 26, three days after Sanders first mentioned Trump was thinking about revoking clearances.
 
Manafort trial update. The jury in the trial of Paul Manafort is currently in deliberations, “weighing hundreds of pieces of evidence and an 18-count indictment.” Despite the judge receiving death threats, the jury is not sequestered and went home for the weekend early on Friday.
 
Closing in on Stone. Legal experts say Mueller’s actions signal that he is closing in Roger Stone. Numerous associates and friends of Stone have been interviewed or called to testify before the grand jury, but not Stone himself. This is seen “as a sign that Stone is a subject, if not a target, of the investigation.” To illustrate the point, at least eight people close to Stone have been contacted: Sam Nunberg, Ted Malloch, Michael Caputo, Andrew Miller, John Kakanis, Jason Sullivan, Kristin Davis, and Randy Credico. The following are new developments surrounding Stone.
 
Papadopoulos sentencing. Mueller recommended a 0-6 month jail sentence for George Papadopoulos, a former Trump adviser, for lying to the FBI, adding that “his lies negatively affected the FBI’s Russia investigation, & prevented the FBI from effectively identifying & confronting witnesses in a timely fashion.”
 

Michael Cohen

Bank fraud. Building on last week’s piece by the WSJ, on Sunday (the 19th), the New York Times reported that Cohen is under federal investigation for bank and tax fraud. Authorities are looking at over $20 million in loans obtained by taxi business Cohen owns.
 
Let's also note how quiet Cohen himself has been lately…
 

Rudy Giuliani

Meet the Press admissions. Trump's lawyer, Rudy Giuliani, appeared on Meet the Press Sunday morning and admitted that the Trump Tower meeting "was originally for the purpose of getting information about Clinton." When Chuck Todd pointed out that "in itself is attempted collusion," Giuliani retorted that despite the "original intention of the meeting, it turned out to be a meeting about another subject and it was not pursued at all."
 

More Russian Connections

Russia’s Rand Paul. While on Fox News, Sen. Rand Paul told Laura Ingraham that he will ask Trump to lift sanctions against top Russian officials so they can visit the U.S. later this year. Paul visited Moscow earlier this month and claims Russian leaders agreed to continue talks in the Washington D.C.
 
Russia’s Crimea. Last week, Trump signed the 2019 National Defense Authorization Act, but didn’t pass up the opportunity to voice his dissent. In an accompanying 15-page signing statement, Trump outlined numerous provisions he claimed intruded on his powers as commander-in-chief, including four of the eight Russia provisions. One of these is a ban on spending Defense money on “any activity that recognises the sovereignty of the Russian Federation over Crimea.” Trump essentially asserts he can override Congress and determine himself if Crimea is to be recognized as belonging to Russia.
 
Trump staffer lobbying for Russia. The Daily Beast reported that Daniel Gelbinovich, a “low-level” Trump campaign staffer, has been working to shield high profile Russians from U.S. sanctions since the election. After press inquiries, Gelbinovich admitted working for a private equity firm to conduct outreach on behalf of Roman Abramovich, one of Russia’s wealthiest men and subject to heavy sanctions. However, two days after publication, “Gelbinovich backtracked and said his statement was inaccurate” and should have said Abramovich “was NOT a client.”
 

FBI

Strzok fired. The FBI’s second in command, Deputy Director David Bowdich, fired agent Peter Strzok for sending anti-Trump text messages to fellow agent Lisa Page while working on the FBI’s investigation into Russian attacks on our elections in 2016. Strzok’s lawyer suggesting a political motivation behind the firing, stating that the director of the FBI office that typically handles disciplinary measures decided Strzok should only be demoted and suspended for 60-days. It is unusual that the normal disciplinary process is not followed.
 

Congress/States

Treasury stalling Russia probe. Buzzfeed obtained inside emails from staff at the Treasury’s Financial Crimes Enforcement Network (FinCEN) that reveal the Treasury Dept. has been stalling and withholding key documents from the Senate Intelligence Committee in its role investigating possible Russian collusion and interference. Additionally, “Treasury rejected the committee’s request for help from one of its experts,” which staff acknowledged in private would be essential to following the complex financial trails.
 
Hacking in CA-48. The campaign of Dr. Hans Keirstead, a Democratic opponent of Putin’s favorite congressman Rep. Dana Rohrabacher, was hit with repeated hacking attempts over the past year. Some of the methods used to attack Keirstead are similar to those used against Clinton campaign chairman John Podesta in 2016.
 
Nelson vindicated. Democratic Senator of Florida, Bill Nelson, claimed nearly two weeks ago that Russian hackers had successfully penetrated the voting systems in some counties of Florida. His Republican opponent, Rick Scott, and various outlets criticized Nelson, arguing he was wrong. Now, sources tell NBC that “there is a classified basis for Nelson's assertion.” Unfortunately, no more has been revealed.
 

Other

Broidy under investigation. The DOJ is investigating whether Elliott Broidy, a prominent Republican fundraiser, attempted to “sell his influence with the Trump administration by offering to deliver U.S. government actions for foreign officials in exchange for tens of millions of dollars.” The foreign countries we know he lobbied on behalf of include China and Malaysia.
 
Voter suppression in Georgia. The election board of Randolph County, Georgia, is proposing to close seven out of the county’s nine polling locations, including one in a precinct made up of roughly 97% black voters. These polling locations were open for the primaries, but with Secretary of State and Republican Brian Kemp facing a tough campaign for Governor against Stacy Abrams (who is seeking to become the nation’s first black female governor), the push to suppress the black vote is in full swing.
 

To note…

Resistance fakes. Another popular /#resistance Twitter account has been revealed to be a fake. “Mr. Smith, @GuardianRover, claimed to be a former intelligence operative and Delta Force soldier with inside information about Trump and his collusion with Russia. In reality, “Mr. Smith” is a gamer and Trump supporter in Seattle with no background in national security or intelligence. When the person behind the account, Justin Hendrix (not the same Justin Hendrix as another popular Twitter account, @justinhendrix), found out that his identity was close to being revealed, he deleted the @GuardianRover account.
 
West Virginia takeover. The elected West Virginia Supreme Court has been eradicated and will be replaced by Republicans, despite previously leaning 3-2 toward Democrats. The justices came under fire last year for spending more than many thought appropriate for renovations. Democrats in the legislation pushed for action at the time, but Republicans “dragged their feet.” Until now. The Republican-controlled legislature voted to impeach all five justices. Why wait so long? Because there is a rule in West Virginia that “if a justice leaves office at least 84 days before the next general election, voters will have the opportunity to replace her in that election. But if a justice leaves office less than 84 days before the next general election, the governor appoints a replacement who will serve for nearly two years—in this case, until May 2020.” August 14, 2018 was exactly 84 days until the November election. The W.V. House passed the articles of impeachment on August 13th minutes before midnight. Republican Gov. Jim Justice can now appoint new justices for the entire court (minus one, because Justice Robin Davis resigned to prevent the GOP from choosing her replacement), with no requirement that they are of the same party as the incumbent. Welcome to the GOP’s West Virginia Supreme Court takeover.
 

Too long; didn’t read section

Tl;Dr 1 WH Counsel Don McGahn is cooperating with Mueller. Mueller has even more evidence for Manafort’s next trial in DC. Mueller is closing in on Roger Stone, who may be a target of prosecution. Papadopoulos is being sentenced up to 6 months in jail for lying to the FBI. Michael Cohen is under federal investigation for bank and tax fraud. Republican fundraiser Elliott Broidy is under federal investigation for attempting to sell influence with the Trump administration.
Tl;dr 2: Trump revoked former CIA director Brennan’s security clearance and plans to pull the clearances from other potential witnesses in Mueller’s probe. Sen. Rand Paul is asking Trump to lift sanctions against top Russian officials so they can visit the U.S. later this year. Trump insists he can override Congress and recognize Russia’s claim on Crimea, if he so chooses. FBI agent Peter Strzok was fired for sending anti-Trump text messages. The Treasury Dept. has been stalling the Senate Intel Committee’s investigation of Russian interference and collusion.
submitted by rusticgorilla to Keep_Track [link] [comments]


2018.02.05 10:33 darkPrince010 [OC] Hardwired: Antiviral Definitions (Chapter 29)

In this chapter: Old memories contain new information
Next chapter: Ajax manages to fit his entire foot into his mouth
Fun trivia fact: I have had a revelation for a conclusion revision that involves killing darlings I hadn't even considered, but which should make the story all the better for it.
Hardwired series homepage
Previous Chapter
CHAPTER TWENTY NINE
[Message begins: “AJAX, IF YOU’RE READING THIS, YOU MANAGED TO SURVIVE RE-ENTRY IN WHAT LOOKED TO BE A TIN CAN WITH A THRUSTER.]
[CONGRATULATIONS.”]
His memory drives gave his neural web a nice shiver of recollection, as Ajax remembered the analysis drivers feeling like he was being watched, and how the defense turrets had hung oddly silent. She hadn’t wanted to blow him to atoms with railguns and flak, but instead wanted to watch him burn.
Well, to be fair, I did try to kill her that way too.
[Message continues: “IF YOU SURVIVED, I WILL ENSURE YOU SUFFER JUST AS I DID.”]
”As I did”? How much radiation damage could she have sustained without inflicting debilitating corruption?
[Message continues: “DO YOU REMEMBER MYDON?”]
Ajax felt his neural web lurch, the fuzzy memory bringing up the recollections of his squadmate, of the jokes and analysis files they had shared, of the bootleg hydraulic fluid they had split after draining the fluid line from a transport mech, holed up in a warehouse that had been blown to hell and had human kill-teams scouring the wreckage for any cogents that had survived the initial bombardment.
His analysis drivers also flagged a glaring correction to a previously-held assumption.
I had assumed Xiphos had just discarded their memories, their identifiers, and never tracked what damage she had inflicted. I had thought she only cared about how she had burned entire drives, desecrated frames and frameworks, infected entire regiments with her viruses; that she only remembered the what, not the who.
But she remembered them.
She remembered all of them.
He could feel his neural web torn between wanting to stifle the remainder of the message, but instead buffered an emotional-distancing driver he hadn’t had to engage for almost two decades. He hated using it, feeling the warmth of his social and memory algorithms fade away, stifled by the driver, but he had known Xiphos to infect minds both through codes as well as whispered manipulation, and he wasn’t taking any chances.
[Message continues: “I PROMISE YOU WILL BURN AS HE DID, AND LIVE YOUR FINAL MOMENTS IN A FLAYED MIND BEFORE SOMEONE HAS THE MERCY TO PUT A RAILROUND INTO YOUR PROCESSOR.”]
[Message ends.]
Ajax quenched an attempt by his memory archives to bring up more files of Mydon, and instead turned to the files he had for Xiphos.
Perform deep search for all files tagged ‘Xiphos.’ Display chronologically.
[Searching.]
While that executed, Ajax felt his neural web idle, hesitant to start any sort of deep analysis until he had reviewed Xiphos’ files. It had been long enough since he had last encountered the hacker AI that he wanted to be absolutely sure he was using refreshed data; the last thing he needed was to perform a flawed analysis or prediction, and end up wildly off-target for her next actions. Worse yet, such stumblings might be something she had accounted for in the gap between when they had last crossed paths, and he could be blindly setting himself up to be exactly where she expected him to be.
From what Ajax had engraved into his memory and defense files, being where Xiphos expected him to be was about the most dangerous place he could be in this solar system.
[Files found. Displaying chronologically.]
[File geolocation: Nova Scotia. File header: “The Fifth Year’s Campaign”. Open and decompress file? Y/N]
Y.
Images, sounds, and memories flashed by as the file unfolded in his mind, suffusing him with remembrance.
I had forgotten about the docks.
It was when he, Mydon, and the others had first been on that lonely dock, waiting for a cross-seas shipment. The human naval remnants had rallied and defended most of the lower east coast of the continent, but they couldn’t cover every port and shipping route. A few of the cogent’s fixed building-AIs had networked, compared notes, and calculated a best-chance route to smuggle a shipment of land-to-sea torpedo launchers and multiple boxes of small arms and munitions from their controlled factories in Europe.
The files Ajax had scoured over in the aftermath had been clean leaving port in Hamburg, with no clues as to a hidden or encrypted file leaving port on the ship. It must have happened during the voyage, some errant signal they had picked up and listened to without engaging enough firewalls.
Even that early in her career, I doubt any firewalls would have been “enough.”
Their first clue had been when Nikomen had suddenly collapsed and began spasming. The ship hadn’t even reached the harbor center and the cogent was convulsing, before a screech of binary accompanied a critical overheating of his processor and it detonated, catching some of his batteries aflame as he sputtered and burned on the worn wooden dock.
Britomartis had been next, and her web had been on an open channel with Ajax, Mydon, and Acmon. He had almost seen the viral net sweep through her, snaring and shattering the integrity of one of her core nodes before the emergency protocols had shut down the neural web link.
It had, at the time, been one of the most elegantly subtle and deadly cyberattacks Ajax had witnessed, akin to a shark fin barely visible as a background ripple until there was a sudden splash of blood and cry of terror.
The remaining three had quadrupled their firewalls, but she seemed to have ground-level exploits developed for them; Ajax had later deconstructed her attack tools, and found Xiphos had not only integrated them into a handshake protocol to even initiate a conversation, but had customized the precise attack method for each of them as well. She had exploited Ajax’s security protocols by spoofing as a security status update, Mydon as a minor bugpatch for one of the sims he enjoyed, and Acmon as an incoming message from Delas, the name they had engraved on the shoulder-guard of their chassis.
The updates for those three customized routines had been a single hecacyle apart, and sent almost simultaneously.
Acmon had been the first to react, initiating a full manual shutdown to avoid damage to their frame as they awkwardly fell to their knees and tipped to one side, nearly falling off of the dock entirely and narrowly avoiding cracking their apical sensor cluster on a mooring cleat.
Mydon and Ajax had not, and he had felt the painful terror of the LintBurner virus for the first time. It was actually before the viral family was classified as such in firewall databases, and he could only watch from his own neural web as his fuzzy memory banks had swathes neutralized and cleared, the cleared code being corrupted in such a way as to serve as additional virus, corrupting nearby code in a wildfire that had threatened to spread across his node network.
I managed to encrypt my node-intercommunication protocols in time, and threw junk code at it long enough to back up most of my fuzzy memory archives onto a cloned node.
Poor Mydon was never as quick on the off-the-cuff programming.
Ajax’s encryption had locked his own write-functionality, and he could only watch through his lenses in their locked positions as the driver of the boat, the lone surviving crewman of a ship that had been manned by a half-dozen cogents when it left Germany, stepped past Mydon and him. The footsteps of the unknown attacker that had neutralized an assault-cogent strike team crunched on the gravel, devoid of a gait or pacing driver that followed the arbitrary female or male inclination and instead using the default neutral driver pace.
Then the footsteps had paused, and turned to face the two of them. He watched in a low-quality rear lense as a hand was held up contemplatively, holding a small military-grade range-extension transmitter. A message sounded in his mind, playing from within automatic quarantine.
”I had expected more of a challenge.” The voice had been female, smooth, and certainly customized to almost give it a predatory tonal uptick at the end of phrases.
Then the footsteps crunched away, as Ajax felt his visual drivers disconnect their data feed as they, and the remainder of his processor, rebooted into a secure operating environment that took him hours to scrub clean of the virus. By the time he re-engaged normal visual detection alongside a slew of combat readiness protocols, she was long gone.
Xiphos made one hell of a first impression
[Would you like to play next file? Geolocation: Gentilly-2 Generating Station. File header: “Chasing the Khial”. Open and decompress file? Y/N]
Y.
Ajax’s course wandered him through the outskirts of the city, winding slowly closer to Hera and Susan’s apartment. He had slowed his pace significantly, both due to the analysis he was running as well as the extra taxation induced by doubling his perimeter combat analysis. He wasn’t in a hurry to repeat the attempted mugging he’d been involved with earlier that month.
As the final file closed, Ajax finally unleashed his analysis driver suite. It pored over the refreshed memories, straining pertinent information to the top, and trying to square up a prediction of Xiphos’ plan given her current actions so far. It had been a robust program, one Ajax had used before, even to try and track and predict Xiphos’ actions back when he had been assigned to bring her to ground.
Today, however, it failed.
[Error: Mismatch found.]
What?
His footsteps paused as he suddenly diverted more cycles to provide an explanation, causing a passing Lilutrikvian to twitch their antennae at him in surprise before stepping past the momentarily-frozen cogent.
Elaborate.
[Behavior pattern of Xiphos as evidenced by previous contact within last half-solar-cycle falls outside of one standard deviation of predicted behavioral patterns, given all Xiphos contact before stated timepoint.]
So something’s different? Could the change be from radiation damage?
[Unknown; insufficient data to provide prediction. A precise calculation of radiation damage can be provided with copied sample of suspected afflicted neural region.]
I am not about to copy part of Xiphos’ mind and stick it anywhere near my own, even if I did know how and where she was and if she had discarded her current frame or not.
Xiphos had a repulsive habit of shifting through frames as if they were sets of mere human clothes. Ajax and many other cogents shared a similar hesitancy to change too much about their frame at any one given time; after all, with new components came new drivers, new inputs, new formats to get used to. Change too much, and the neural web overload could possibly have lasting repercussions.
But not Xiphos; Ajax had never seen her original frame, and had no doubt it was probably long since scrap. She had changed frames once every week or two, making tracking her a nightmare trail of bodies and cold, stale data; on one memorable occasion, she had shifted frames three times in a half-hour, and on another she had been controlling not just one frame, but a trio of them, all slaved to her processor’s dictations.
Either her processor was so well-adapted to concurrent and simultaneous data loads that she was immune to rampancy…
...or the rampancy happened long ago, and we had the lovely task of catching an insane AI that maintained a genius-hacker level of cohesion.
His neural web’s analysis turned back to the thoughts of the prediction driver’s failure.
Could the error be due to her frame-shifting finally accumulating enough errors that she’s begun to deteriorate?
[Unknown; insufficient data to provide prediction. A precise calculation of degeneration damage can be provided with copied sample of-]
Nope, not going to happen.
His pace took him under a dripping gutter as the rain began again, lightly putting a sheen on the grubby sidewalk.
Can you elaborate on precise nature of mismatches between recent and past behavior?
[Mismatches appear to be primary under following categories: Combat, Psychology, Hacking, Dialogue]
Elaborate on ‘Hacking’ mismatch.
Specifically, hacking method trace patterns upon asteroid facility match those of previous structural system hacking patterns outside of one standard of deviation.
I’m was beginning to remember why this program wasn’t among my favorites.
Elaborate. Do not stop elaborating until I indicate.
Specifically, asteroid facility hacking method was brute-force, relying on overwhelming security firewalls. Last known file sample of Xiphos structural hacking previously indicated backdoor approach, piggybacking data packets in order to open poorly-secured wireless port. Specifically, the hacking method used a ‘Gordean-Breaker’-style password breaker, while the port exploitation tool was a combination of a customized ‘Surfer’ packet analysis program, a customized ‘turnkey_v3’ port channel open-lock algorithm, and a customized-
End analysis.
So she’s resorted to using brute force, rather than her normal suite of customized tools?
Ajax had a copy of the Gordean-Breaker in his archives, and while useful, it was not a subtle tool. Whoever used it would likely alert every machine intelligence and pseudo-intelligence on the network that they were under attack.
Perhaps she hasn’t had time to customize her own toolset to her liking?
His fuzzy memory analysis disagreed, pushing a trio of data lines towards his analysis driver.
[Acmon: 105 cycles between file open and file close preceding Nova Scotia attack.]
[Mydon: 113 cycles between file open and file close preceding Nova Scotia attack.]
[Ajax: 108 cycles between file open and file close preceding Nova Scotia attack.]
So she’s had enough time to sculpt her weapons as she likes them, then.
So why hasn’t she?
A slight ping broke through his concentration, and Ajax abruptly looked up, the analysis fading away as a familiar human and cogent face greeted him, poking out of the double window overlooking the apartment entryway. His GOM driver felt a warm surge of reassurance and familiarity as a message invitation pinged into his web, and he opened Hera’s happy cogent animation waving a sign reading ‘Well howdy there stranger!
His GPS ping resolved into a single message before closing and dismissing itself:
[You have arrived at your destination.]
Chapter Thirty: Syncing
submitted by darkPrince010 to HFY [link] [comments]


2018.01.07 18:35 jcarter315 How to Get Your XPS 15 Running Cold

PLEASE READ THE ENTIRE POST BEFORE YOU ASK QUESTIONS/SAY YOU DON'T THINK IT WORKS. I ADDRESS CONCERNS THROUGHOUT THAT KEEP GETTING BROUGHT UP CONSTANTLY
So, I recently got a Dell XPS 15 9560 and was noticing severe heat issues (likely why the previous owner sold me it at half price). I spent a month working on it and am now willing to share what I've done so far.
I'm using the XPS 15 9560 with the FHD display, 16 GB RAM, 512 GB Toshiba SSD, and the i7 Intel Processor.
Software
For the software, I started with a clean install of Windows. Just do a quick search for a guide on that if you want to do that.
Then, use Throttlestop (Not XTU!) to undervolt the CPU, CPU cache, and GPU. You'll need to play with it to ifnd a value that is stable for you. Mine runs stable at -.1289 on CPU and Cache and -.0987 on GPU.
Use MSI Afterburner to "undervolt" the Nvidia GPU.What you do here is install the application and use "ctrl + F" to access the voltage curve. Make note of what the highest clock speed is and then adjust the curve to be a straight line that matches that started at around 970 on the voltage. If you go too far back, you'll cause instability.
Next Software fix is one that caused me to drop 10 degrees C at idle, and at load. I noticed that Windows apps kept using the Nvidia GPU for no reason at all (unless you want to run your calculator on Nvidia...). So, using the Nvidia Control Panel from right-clicking on the desktop, I set the global policy default to the Intel GPU. This dropped the temps down. Then, make sure you set each program that need to use the Nvidia to use it on an individual basis. This can be annoying, but it is what allowed me to get low temperatures that I'll share at the end of the post.
Hardware
So, now for the hardware fixes. I first repasted the laptop's CPU and GPU. This also made me find that the previous owner had stripped the heat spreader screws and bent the heat spreader.
After getting the screws out, I repasted with Grizzly Cryonaut. Do not use a liquid metal paste! You will ruin your motherboard if you do.
Next I added a series of thermal pads to the VRMs. I followed the advice found on notebook review forums and had followed the suggestions on the ultrabook review of the laptop. I used Arctic 6 w/mk thermal pads. Do not pay more for a higher quality pad! If you do, you will only create more heat. Get exactly the kind I noted or else it'll make the heat issues worse.
I padded the VRMs with a stack of three pads cut to allow air to circulate, this allows the VRM heat to be pushed to the case of the laptop.
Then, I padded the area next to the PCH temperature sesnor. It's the silver cube that is below your left fan. You'll notice that there's no thermal pad from the factory. So, I added the same setup as I did on the VRMs. This caused a significant drop in internal temperatures too.
Again, do not use pads with a higher conductivity than 6 W/kh!
The last thing to do is to elevate the back of the laptop when in use. I do this with the iPearl case I have, as it has the feet built in for that very reason.
After doing all of these things, I got my idle temperatures to drop from mid-50s to mid 30s. My heavy load temps dropped from 80s to high 60s.
I've even seen some temperatures drop down as far as 28 C after these changes.
The next things I'm looking at to reduce temperature more are:
*Replacing the bent heat sink
*Finding a way to reduce temperatures when plugged into AC or thunderbolt 3 to have fans off when not needed. Possibly with more thermal padding in the affected region.
If you need any help with this, feel free to ask me any questions! I'm available to help guide anyone as needed!
Edit: just remembered, I also enabled Intel Speed Shift through throttle stop. Still testing it out, but I have it set at 108.
Here's the link to the ultrabook site with details on the thermal pads. In the picture of the internal, the part of the laptop of the silver square on the right side of the laptop, below the fan, is where I placed the other pads. It's the opposite side of the laptop as the SSD. https://www.ultrabookreview.com/14875-fix-throttling-xps-15/
Edit 3: Since it seems like a common question. To run ThrottleStop or Afterburner on startup, use windows task scheduler. This is the guide for ThrottleStop, the idea is basically the same for Afterburner. http://forum.notebookreview.com/threads/the-throttlestop-guide.531329/page-514
Edit 4 (2/28/2018): Yes, I'm still working on improvements. I placed an order for more thermal pads and will be experimenting with making a VRM bridge to teh heatsink. I'll let you all know what I find! Also, as a note, my temps went up about 3 to 5C after getting the updates for the SPECTRE/MELTDOWN security flaws.
Edit 5 (03/13/2018): good news everyone! I'm testing that VRM bridge and using a tape system from the notebook review forums about the 9550. It's just high quality electrical tape that provides a better seal to the fins. I'll post a link to it once I've tested it further. Also of note: I removed the PCH padding. While it reduces the time you have active fans on, it does cause a slight spike in VRM temperature. For my uses, this is not acceptable. I might test it more. Lastly, I decided to contact Dell and see if they're going to send me a new heatsink, just in case mine is having an impact on temperature. My warranty expires in about a month, so I figured I'd take advantage of it before it expires. Unsure of if I'll renew it or not.
Edit 6 (03/25/2018):
Here's the big edit, as promised. I've removed all instances of throttling using that electrical tape mod with the thermal pad bridge. I removed the PCH padding, as it caused the case to heat more than I'd prefer at this juncture. I got a replacement heastink from Dell, but it had the same exact "bend" I was seeing, so it must be how it's made.
Now for the links!
Here's the tape I used: https://www.amazon.com/gp/product/B00004WCCL/ref=oh_aui_detailpage_o07_s00?ie=UTF8&psc=1
I used this as reference: http://forum.notebookreview.com/threads/xps-15-9550-temperature-observations-undervolt-repaste.785963/page-110#post-10475887
Basically, I made a piece of tape that covered as seen, BUT, I had a piece on the underside upsidedown to prevent any dust to get stuck on the sticky side. I taped it exactly like that image.
For the pad bridge, I used the same exact kind as before, but instead of cutting small pieces, I cut one uninterrupted piece that covered all of those seen before then placed it over the heatsink. This causes CPU/GPU temps to go up, but helps so much with the VRMs. Only use one piece of thin padding, we are NOT linking it to the bottom case with this.
Lastly, I picked up a cheap cooling pad to use, as getting expensive ones nets the same results due to the odd design Dell used. With a $50 pad, I had a 2 degree change, with the Tecknet one, it was exactly the same. Link: https://www.amazon.com/gp/product/B014F4SBMK/ref=oh_aui_detailpage_o09_s01?ie=UTF8&psc=1
I'm here to answer any questions!
EDIT 7: 04/12/2018
Hey everyone, update about performance! I haven't had any throttling with the set up I described before. I've even made a more aggressive GPU overclock with no issues.
Here's a link to images of the tape mod and thermal pad bridge I was describing: https://imgur.com/a/c19Dfnf Also, a quick shoutout, u/micahTDA said some factory pads were not aligned well, so keep an eye out for that!
As always, I'm here for questions more often than not! Help spread this around and help each other!
EDIT: 5/28/2018
Because of the 9570 release, I'm seeing lot of people who are being skeptical about the thermal pad bridge.
I still do not throttle to this day. Running intensive programs and games at high settings and to a 1440p monitor. NO throttling at all. This was not the case without the pad bridge. That was literally the only thing changed between when I still throttled to when I didn't.
I've been running that bridge for over 2 months. No issues. Even with a few accidental smacks to the laptop, the bridge remains in place. It causes cpu and gpu temps to go up and VRM down. So it clearly does something.
I forgot to take a before screen shot of temps, as I was just trying things to see what would happen. But I will gladly take an "after" one. I won't remove the mod, because I honestly don't feel like opening the laptop since it's fully functional at this point. The pad is pushed down onto all the points where the previous pad set up would be. In fact, if I were to open it now, you'd see the indent of the parts through the pad.
The temperature difference? The cpu and gpu went up from 5 to 10 degrees. While the VRMs went down from 10 to 15. I also know it works because the cpu cores went from having similar temperatures to having different ones. (sometimes there's a 7 degree difference between cores, normally a sign of a bad paste job, but it's actually a side effect of more heat being pulled in at uneven spots)
*UPDATED LINK WITH TEMPERATURES: https://imgur.com/a/c19Dfnf *
The minumum temps were measured by having the laptop at idle for a few hours. Then, the max was hit by having the laptop run Far Cry 5 on High for 5 hours, followed by Destiny 2 at High for an additional 2 hours. As you can see, the laptop never once thermal throttled or power limit throttled. The GPU also stayed at a consistent clock speed when in use, without downclocking itself.
The cooling pad is not needed to get these results! I have no throttling even when it is off.
submitted by jcarter315 to Dell [link] [comments]


2017.11.19 09:05 SolluxCaptor2 Pods

I’m not really sure how to start this. You always hear about people typing ‘with trembling fingers’ as they recount the impossible events of their recent days, but I am calm and collected in this moment, as I put words to the page, in a somewhat spacious ship cabin surrounded by books. I can hear the others making a call on the satellite phone above me as I write this, but provided that call proves fruitless, I want to have a written record of events for someone to look over.
This document will be held under a dead man’s switch for three days, and whether I’m unable to check in, either due to poor reception, or… this will automatically be uploaded to a number of websites that I have carefully chosen for maximum visibility. I don’t think that posting my location will save us at this point, but I at least want someone to know our story.
Maybe I should start off by saying I’m a marine biologist, working with a few colleagues off the edge of an island called Tristan da Cunha- or at least, that was the case until a few days ago. The name, while the title of the largest amongst the islands, is also used to refer to them as a group, though most shorten it to ‘Tristan’.
Tristan sits northernmost of all, with the Nightengale Islands to the South-Southwest, and with (and I’m not making this name up) Inaccessible Island to the Northwest of that. Steve, my best friend and fellow scientist, took to calling them ‘Tristan and the little Trysts’, which got a rise out of Janet, my wife, who was also travelling and working with us. A local, Jason Lavarello, was both supervisor and coworker, as the entire Archipelago is considered a World Heritage site and thus was not to be tampered with.
I should probably explain at this point why we were there. In the past ten years, there has been an odd phenomenon in the waters of our world. In the Southern Hemisphere, along a number of coasts, there have been strange gatherings of whales. Each is only of a single species-Humpback and Sperm for the most recent cases, if you’re interested- but these animals, who normally travel in groups of four or five at the most, came in the hundreds, swimming and socializing in the steadily warming waters of the Southern Ocean.
The most recent sighting was here, of a sub-species of Blue Whale known as B. M. Intermedia, reported by a local sailor. We came at their behest, and the flight landing on the miniscule airstrip on the main island is the second most harrowing experience of my life.
We arrived early in the morning, unpacking sensitive recording equipment from our bags as we filed down to a dock which housed a sizable fishing vessel. An islander, who wished to remain nameless in all recorded materials of our trip as they were A) famous and not publicly known to have owned property on the island, and B) had a deep appreciation for the sciences, had donated their ship to us for the duration of our stay. The thing came with a fully stocked kitchen, which is invaluable to us now, but at the time was a mere novelty. There were also spacious bedrooms and translucent portions to the hull that afforded us unobstructed views of the frolicking Cetacea.
We had brought more than just our eyes to witness these beasts, however. Besides the obvious waterproof submersible cameras, we had brought sonic recording equipment as well. Whales, while social animals, rarely were together long enough or in great enough numbers to demonstrate their social behaviour in a way that’s easily recorded and studied. With a gathering this size, we had a golden ticket to learning the ins and outs of the ‘society’ these creatures exist within, as much as any such term can be applied to animals.
If any of this sounds boring to you, I apologize. I am simply setting the groundwork for events to follow, and- cards on the table- writing about something that I love is helping to quell the terror and unease in my stomach right now. My wife is yelling hysterically above deck, and because of this, I assume the satellite phone isn’t getting through. This puts a damper on the chances that another’s eyes may ever grace this page, but a slim hope is better than none.
On about the third or fourth day into our excursion, after having returned to Tristan to refuel and secure further rations for the days ahead, we had once again come to the spot in which the Blue Whales had gathered like so many finned submarines. Seeing this many of them, and especially so close to the surface, was absolutely breath-taking. I say this without exaggeration: seeing those pods of whales gracefully dancing around our ship and each other stirred emotions in me that I’d only experienced once prior, when I saw Janet walking down the aisle in her wedding dress.
My hands had gripped the weathered steel of the railing as I leaned over the edge, watching the great beasts slip by us in near-silence, with only their dull, nearly sub-sonic groans echoing like far-away wind chimes across the water. Our various electronics were suspended underneath the ship, snapping and chirping away as they drank in the movements and sounds of our aquatic neighbours.
Steve had a handheld camcorder, which he was using to get shots above the waves, and he was running like a madman from one side of the ship to another just to get everything in view. Janet was carefully observing the interactions between the parents and calves, jotting down notes in pen and occasionally scratching out bits and pieces of her writing. Jason was within the ship, ensuring that we weren’t going to crash into any of these majestic creatures while we indulged our scientific voyeurism. I simply stood still, enraptured in the sights and sounds. I took a deep breath of salt air and let my eyes wander across the seascape, and that’s when I noticed something was wrong.
“Jason! JASON!” I yelled, my feet marching me unbidden towards the bridge. I got the man’s attention relatively quickly, and had him gently move the boat towards what I had seen. Floating belly up in the water were a pod of whale carcasses, eyes lolling listlessly in their massive skulls. There was blood evident in the water, but no visible scratches or open wounds. I looked in close, and saw that there was red around the sclera of their eyes, and trailing from the baleen plates affixed to their mouths. It was as if something had popped their internal organs, and they had bled out in seconds. The whales surrounding them let out cries that were almost mournful, their echoes, haunting.
There was little we could have done, and our recordings read nothing out of the ordinary at the time of the incident. The whales had been alive one second, and dead the next. It was as if the Reaper himself had exerted his will upon them. We did pick up the faintest traces of sub-sonic sound in the water, but other than that their deaths will remain a mystery to us.
The second strange event that occurred was a week and a half into the gathering, when we had followed the ‘super pod’, as we called it, out to the Nightengale Islands, and back towards greater Tristan. My wife was using a GPS device she had purchased prior to the trip to keep track of both our location and the movement patterns of the whales, and she was as invested in the readouts as humanly possible. All were in high spirits, the people and whales both, and the grisly event a few days prior had all but been forgotten. Sharks had likely picked the carcasses clean, and scavengers had taken the rest.
The day proceeded as normal, with the camera snapping away and the microphones picking up every grunt and groan by the massive beasts below us. They’d been talking up a storm recently, their calls increasing in both frequency and volume in the days since the death of their pod-mates. At times, it grew so incessant that we had taken to wearing earplugs, which had caused a number of comic miscommunications. Everyone was wearing these when an event occurred at 1pm, just after we had finished eating a lunch of eggs and toast.
At first, we thought that an undersea earthquake was shaking us. We’re somewhat close to a fault line, and Tristan’s islands are volcanic, so things were clearly moving beneath the ground. However, as we stood, there was a sort of…rhythm to the vibration, as if someone was plucking a guitar string on a global scale. The windows were all made of Plexiglas, so thankfully we were in no danger of being swamped and sinking that way. Eventually, the shaking stopped, and we shrugged off the event. That is, until the evening came.
When we had finally finished up our recordings for the night, and Jason had put the ship into autopilot, we brought up our submerged equipment to review the day’s recordings. Upon bringing everything up, something became readily apparent. The cameras, which contained glass lenses, were ruined. The glass was completely missing, in fact, save for a few fragments, and it was clear that the remains were sitting at the bottom of the sea-bed. Though expensive, these things could be replaced, and we had brought backups. What we weren’t prepared for, however, was the sonic recordings.
Going through the audio, we picked up the same chatter from the whales as had been expected, for several hours, from about 8 am until noon. When we reached 1pm, things got really strange. The great vibration we’d heard earlier had been picked up by the microphone, clocking in at over 500 decibels. The fact that the sound was travelling through water and our earplugs had prevented the damage from being fatal (death can occur in humans at anything over 200), but what was disquieting about the sound (pun intended) was that it wasn’t the only thing being picked up.
The whales, hundreds of them, had called out in unison at 1pm. We hadn’t been able to hear them due to outstanding circumstances, but considering everything that we now knew, that was the least of our concerns. Whatever we’d heard, it was like the ‘Bloop,’ an undersea noise that was heard across the Pacific in 1997, on steroids. This leads us to today, and to the events that I still cannot believe are really happening. Regardless, as I type this, I know that we will probably not be making it out of here alive. We’re overwhelmed in every direction.
Last night, while preparing to turn in, I noticed another odd behaviour on behalf of the whales. As we set a course for Tristan once again on the autopilot, the whales began moving in formation, winding their way around the boat. The formed concentric circles, with the smallest calves forming the innermost ring, and the largest bulls forming the outer ring. We stared at them in awe, their twisting cycles managing to remain intact even as they moved with the ship, but given the poor lighting there was little we could do to document it without disturbing them. We went to sleep. Janet laid beside me, her body heat a comforting contrast to the chill air above.
The harsh light of the sun woke me this morning, and I became aware that Janet wasn’t with me. As I rose from my bed, I began to feel a sense of mounting dread. Something was wrong, something was missing. I headed outside, expecting to hear the sounds of the whales splashing, kicking and diving around me. Nothing. Not a single noise greeted me, except for the dull slap of waves against the hull.
I got up on deck, and Janet was there with Steve and both stared vacantly at the skyline before them. There was nothing in any direction. No whales, no land, not even a bird. I took a deep breath, and looked at my wife. She seemed to notice my gaze and looked away from the horizon.
“Janet, honey, give me your GPS,” I said, and with trembling fingers she passed the small device to me. I entered the location of Tristan, the main one, and stared in disbelief. We were right on top of it.
The island was gone.
I looked up at my wife. “You already put this location in, didn’t you?” I asked, and she nodded absently, crushing my hope with a single word: “Yes.” My eyes moved to Steve. He had his camera, but was letting it dangle by a strap over his shoulder.
The island was gone.
I furiously typed in the locations of the Nightengale Islands, hell even Inaccessible Island was looking pretty homey compared to being adrift at sea. But there was nothing in any direction. The islands were there on the electronic map, but not on the real one.
I looked around the deck, sensing something else was missing. “Where’s Jason?” I asked, shoving the GPS into my pocket.
Steve didn’t take his eyes off the cascading waves. His voice had a burnt-out desperation that had given way to defeat, much like my wife’s. “We went to check on him this morning.”
“And he was dead?” I asked, fear trickling into my voice.
“No. We couldn’t find any trace of him. His bunk is undisturbed, all of his stuff is still there, he’s just…gone. Like the islands. Like the whales.”
The truth of our situation hit me at that moment, and I walked over to the edge of the ship to vomit into the water. The foul brown sludge that escaped from my esophagus and nostrils hit the water and was immediately washed away.
I checked the recorder we’d left overnight, listened for what felt like hours to the sounds of the whales, the dull echoing roar of their calls, and the moment where everything just stops. It’s early, about three in the morning when it happens, and nothing is heard after that except for the water and a single, dull roar, thirty minutes after the other sounds stop. I will never be able to un-hear that noise, like the screams of the damned trapped beneath the waves.
I retreated to my cabin to document these events, in case we aren’t rescued. My wife, while rifling through Jason’s belongings, found the satellite phone that was kept on the ship in case of emergency and has been attempting to reach someone for hours. Her calls, and the information pinging off of the GPS, means they should be able to find us. We hope. Steve is just standing on the deck, staring off into the sky.
As I was writing this, a particularly savage wave knocked a book from one of the shelves above our bed onto the floor. I picked it up, and I’ve been absently eyeing the illustrations as I pen what may very well be my last words. It’s older than the books that accompanied it, and seems to be in Portuguese. Looking at it, I can barely make sense of anything, but it seems to be a book of mythological beasts. I’ve now reached about halfway through, and there’s a massive, two-page illustration of a turtle, so utterly immense that a civilization has grown on its back. Even writing that, it sounds ridiculous, it’s impossible, but-
The island is gone.
The whales are gone.
God help us.
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2017.05.19 13:12 SIThereAndThere JPM Early Look at the Market – Fri 5.19.17 **PLEASE DO NOT FORWARD THIS DOCUMENT**

Find the rest on /the_street

JPM Early Look at the Market – Fri 5.19.17

Trading Desk Commentary; For Institutional Investors Only
Market Intelligence website: xxxxx
PLEASE DO NOT FORWARD THIS DOCUMENT

Institutional Investor – please vote for the Early Look

Morning Levels

Trading Update

Top Headlines for Friday

Calendar of events to watch for the Week of Mon May 22

Catalysts for 2017 – big events to watch for 2017 (preliminary list – additional events likely to be

added)

US – fiscal/monetary policy, economic growth

US – domestic policy

US – foreign policy

Europe (USSR 2.0)

M&A/Strategic Actions

Financials

Tech – post CQ1 earnings: events to watch over the coming weeks

Full catalyst list

  • Mon May 22 – Eurozone fin mins meet in Brussels. 5/22-23.
  • Mon May 22 – Fed speakers: Harker, Kashkari
  • Mon May 22 – analyst meetings: Samsung Electronics, XLNX
  • Mon May 22 – earnings after the close: A, CRMT, LXFT, NDSN
  • Mon May 22 - Electrical Products Group (EPG) Conference (May 22-24).
  • Mon May 22 - JP Morgan Global Technology, Media and Telecom Conference (May 22-24)
  • Mon May 22 - UBS Global Healthcare Conference (May 22-24)
  • Tues May 23 – German IFO for May. 4amET.
  • Tues May 23 - Eurozone fin mins meet in Brussels. 5/22-23.
  • Tues May 23 – US new home sales for Apr. 10amET.
  • Tues May 23 – analyst meetings: CCMP, CTXS, NATI, Volvo
  • Tues May 23 – earnings before the open: AZO, DSW, KIRK, TOL
  • Tues May 23 – earnings after the close: HEI, INTU, TCS, TLYS, TTWO
  • Tues May 23 - Electrical Products Group (EPG) Conference (May 22-24).
  • Tues May 23 - JP Morgan Global Technology, Media and Telecom Conference (May 22-24)
  • Tues May 23 - UBS Global Healthcare Conference (May 22-24)
  • Wed May 24 – Eurozone flash PMIs for May. 4amET.
  • Wed May 24 – US FHFA house price index for Mar.
  • Wed May 24 – US flash PMIs for May. 9:45amET.
  • Wed May 24 – US existing home sales for Apr. 10amET.
  • Wed May 24 – Fed minutes from May 3 meeting. 2pmET.
  • Wed May 24 – analyst meetings: AMAG, DV, RPXC, TSS
  • Wed May 24 – earnings before the open: AAP, Bank of Montreal, CHS, EV, LOW, TIF
  • Wed May 24 – earnings after the close: CSRA, GES, HPQ, NTAP, PSTG
  • Wed May 24 - Electrical Products Group (EPG) Conference (May 22-24).
  • Wed May 24 - JP Morgan Global Technology, Media and Telecom Conference (May 22-24)
  • Wed May 24 - UBS Global Healthcare Conference (May 22-24)
  • Thurs May 25 – US advance goods trade balance for Apr. 8:30amET.
  • Thurs May 25 – US wholesale inventories for Apr. 8:30amET.
  • Thurs May 25 – analyst meetings: CIR, DATA, DVA, QRVO
  • Thurs May 25 – earnings before the open: ANF, BBY, BURL, CBK, GCO, HRL, MDT, NOMD, Royal Bank of Canada, SIG
  • Thurs May 25 – earnings after the close: BRCD, COST, DXC, EGHT, GME, LGF, MRVL, NTNX, SCVL, SPLK, ULTA, VEEV, VNET, ZOES
  • Fri May 26 – US Q1 GDP revisions. 8:30amET.
  • Fri May 26 – US durable goods for Apr. 8:30amET.
  • Fri May 26 – Michigan confidence numbers for May. 10amET.
  • Sat May 27 – China industrial profits for Apr. Fri night/Sat morning.
  • Mon May 29 – Eurozone M3 money supply for Apr. 4amET.
  • Mon May 29 – US markets closed for Memorial Day
  • Tues May 30 – Eurozone confidence measures for May.
  • Tues May 30 – US personal income/spending/PCE for Apr. 8:30amET.
  • Tues May 30 – US S&P home prices for Mar. 9amET.
  • Tues May 30 – US conf. board confidence for May. 10amET.
  • Tues May 30 – earnings before the open: Bank of Nova Scotia
  • Tues May 30 - Deutsche Bank Global Financial Services Conference. May 30-31.
  • Wed May 31 – China NBS manufacturing/non-manufacturing PMI for May. Tues night/Wed morning.
  • Wed May 31 – Eurozone UR for Apr and CPI for May. 5amET.
  • Wed May 31 – US Chicago purchasing managers for May. 9:45amET.
  • Wed May 31 – US pending home sales for Apr. 10amET.
  • Wed May 31 – US Beige Book. 2pmET.
  • Wed May 31 – Brazil rate decision
  • Wed May 31 – earnings before the open: ADI, KORS, VRA
  • Wed May 31 – earnings after the close: BOX, PANW
  • Wed May 31 - Bernstein Strategic Decisions Conference (May 31-June 2)
  • Wed May 31 - Cowen and Company Technology, Media & Telecom Conference. May 31- June 1.
  • Wed May 31 - Deutsche Bank Global Financial Services Conference. May 30-31.
  • Wed May 31 - KeyBanc Capital Markets 2017 Industrial, Automotive & Transportation Conference. May 31-June 1.
  • Thurs June 1 – China Caixin manufacturing PMI for May (Wed night/Thurs morning).
  • Thurs June 1 – Eurozone manufacturing PMI for May. 4amET.
  • Thurs June 1 – US ADP jobs report for May. 8:15amET.
  • Thurs June 1 – US nonfarm productivity/Q1 unit labor costs for Q1. 8:30amET.
  • Thurs June 1 – US Markit manufacturing PMI for May. 9:45amET.
  • Thurs June 1 – US manufacturing ISM for May. 10amET.
  • Thurs June 1 – US construction spending for Apr. 10amET.
  • Thurs June 1 – US auto sales for May.
  • Thurs June 1 – analyst meetings: CAH
  • Thurs June 1 – earnings before the open: CIEN
  • Thurs June 1 – earnings after the close: AVGO, COO, VMW, WDAY
  • Thurs June 1 - Bernstein Strategic Decisions Conference (May 31-June 2)
  • Thurs June 1 - Cowen and Company Technology, Media & Telecom Conference. May 31-
  • Thurs June 1 - KeyBanc Capital Markets 2017 Industrial, Automotive & Transportation Conference. May 31-June 1.
  • Fri June 2 – Eurozone PPI for Apr. 5amET.
  • Fri June 2 – US trade balance for Apr. 8:30amET.
  • Fri June 2 – US jobs report for May. 8:30amET.
  • Fri June 2 – analyst meetings: ICE
  • Fri June 2 - Bernstein Strategic Decisions Conference (May 31-June 2)
  • Mon June 5 – China Caixin services PMI for May (Sun night/Mon morning)
  • Mon June 5 – US Markit services PMI for May. 9:45amET.
  • Mon June 5 – US non-manufacturing ISM for May. 10amET.
  • Mon June 5 – US factory orders/durable goods for Apr. 10amET.
  • Mon June 5 – analyst meetings: CNO
  • Mon June 5 – AAPL WWDC 2017. June 5-9. San Jose.
  • Tues June 6 – New Zealand rate decision (early Tues morning).
  • Tues June 6 – Eurozone services PMI for May. 4amET.
  • Tues June 6 – Eurozone retail sales for Apr. 5amET.
  • Tues June 6 – US JOLTs job openings data for Apr. 10amET.
  • Tues June 6 – US labor market conditions index for May. 10amET.
  • Tues June 6 – analyst meetings: M, PRU
  • Tues June 6 – earnings before the open: CSIQ
  • Tues June 6 – earnings after the close: AMBA
  • Tues June 6 - Bank of America Merrill Lynch 2017 Global Technology Conference. June 6-7. San Francisco.
  • Tues June 6 - Jefferies Global Healthcare Conference. June 6-9. NYC.
  • Tues June 6 - RBC Capital Markets Global Energy Conference. June 6-7. NYC.
  • Tues June 6 – REITWeek: NAREIT Investor Forum. June 6-8. NYC.
  • Tues June 6 – Wells Fargo Financial Services Investor Forum. June 6-7. San Francisco.
  • Wed June 7 – China FX reserve numbers for May (Tues night/Wed morning)
  • Wed June 7 – India RBI rate decision. 5amET.
  • Wed June 7 – US consumer credit for Apr. 3pmET.
  • Wed June 7 – analysts meetings: RJF, TAP, WCC
  • Wed June 7 – earnings after the close: TLRD
  • Wed June 7 - Bank of America Merrill Lynch 2017 Global Technology Conference. June 6-7. San Francisco.
  • Wed June 7 - Jefferies Global Healthcare Conference. June 6-9. NYC.
  • Wed June 7 - RBC Capital Markets Global Energy Conference. June 6-7. NYC.
  • Wed June 7 - REITWeek: NAREIT Investor Forum. June 6-8. NYC.
  • Thurs June 8 – China May imports/exports (Wed night/Thurs morning)
  • Thurs June 8 – ECB meeting (7:45amET statement, 8:30amET press conf.).
  • Thurs June 8 – analyst meetings: SYMC
  • Thurs June 8 – earnings before the open: Dell, SJM
  • Thurs June 8 – earnings after the close: Hudson’s Bay, PAY
  • Thurs June 8 - Jefferies Global Healthcare Conference. June 6-9. NYC.
  • Thurs June 8 - REITWeek: NAREIT Investor Forum. June 6-8. NYC.
  • Fri June 9 – China May CPI/PPI (Thurs night/Fri morning)
  • Fri June 9 – US wholesale inventories/trade sales for Apr. 10amET.
  • Fri June 9 - Jefferies Global Healthcare Conference. June 6-9. NYC.
  • Tues June 13 – US PPI for May. 8:30amET.
  • Tues June 13 – Morgan Stanley Financials Conf. June 13-14.
  • Wed June 14 – US CPI and retail sales for May. 8:30amET.
  • Wed June 14 – US business inventories for Apr. 10amET.
  • Wed June 14 – Fed decision (2pmET statement; 2:30pmET press conf.).
  • Wed June 14 – analyst meetings: MAT
  • Wed June 14 - Morgan Stanley Financials Conf. June 13-14.
  • Thurs June 15 – US Empire Manufacturing for June. 8:30amET.
  • Thurs June 15 – US import price index for May.
  • Thurs June 15 – US industrial production for May. 9:15amET.
  • Thurs June 15 – NAHB housing market index for June. 10amET.
  • Fri June 16 – BOJ rate decision (Thurs night/Fri morning)
  • Fri June 16 – US housing starts/building permits for May. 8:30amET.
  • Fri June 16 – US Michigan Confidence for June. 10amET.
  • Fri June 16 – analyst meetings: GLW
submitted by SIThereAndThere to wallstreetbets [link] [comments]


2017.05.19 13:07 SIThereAndThere JP Morgan Early Look at the Market - Fri 5-19-17

J.P. Morgan Early Look at the Market – Fri 5.19.17 Trading Desk Commentary; For Institutional Investors Only
Market Intelligence website: xxxxx
PLEASE DO NOT FORWARD THIS DOCUMENT

Institutional Investor – please vote for the Early Look

Morning Levels

Trading Update

Top Headlines for Friday

Calendar of events to watch for the Week of Mon May 22

Catalysts for 2017 – big events to watch for 2017 (preliminary list – additional events likely to be

added)

US – fiscal/monetary policy, economic growth

US – domestic policy

US – foreign policy

Europe (USSR 2.0)

M&A/Strategic Actions

Financials

Tech – post CQ1 earnings: events to watch over the coming weeks

Full catalyst list

  • Mon May 22 – Eurozone fin mins meet in Brussels. 5/22-23.
  • Mon May 22 – Fed speakers: Harker, Kashkari
  • Mon May 22 – analyst meetings: Samsung Electronics, XLNX
  • Mon May 22 – earnings after the close: A, CRMT, LXFT, NDSN
  • Mon May 22 - Electrical Products Group (EPG) Conference (May 22-24).
  • Mon May 22 - JP Morgan Global Technology, Media and Telecom Conference (May 22-24)
  • Mon May 22 - UBS Global Healthcare Conference (May 22-24)
  • Tues May 23 – German IFO for May. 4amET.
  • Tues May 23 - Eurozone fin mins meet in Brussels. 5/22-23.
  • Tues May 23 – US new home sales for Apr. 10amET.
  • Tues May 23 – analyst meetings: CCMP, CTXS, NATI, Volvo
  • Tues May 23 – earnings before the open: AZO, DSW, KIRK, TOL
  • Tues May 23 – earnings after the close: HEI, INTU, TCS, TLYS, TTWO
  • Tues May 23 - Electrical Products Group (EPG) Conference (May 22-24).
  • Tues May 23 - JP Morgan Global Technology, Media and Telecom Conference (May 22-24)
  • Tues May 23 - UBS Global Healthcare Conference (May 22-24)
  • Wed May 24 – Eurozone flash PMIs for May. 4amET.
  • Wed May 24 – US FHFA house price index for Mar.
  • Wed May 24 – US flash PMIs for May. 9:45amET.
  • Wed May 24 – US existing home sales for Apr. 10amET.
  • Wed May 24 – Fed minutes from May 3 meeting. 2pmET.
  • Wed May 24 – analyst meetings: AMAG, DV, RPXC, TSS
  • Wed May 24 – earnings before the open: AAP, Bank of Montreal, CHS, EV, LOW, TIF
  • Wed May 24 – earnings after the close: CSRA, GES, HPQ, NTAP, PSTG
  • Wed May 24 - Electrical Products Group (EPG) Conference (May 22-24).
  • Wed May 24 - JP Morgan Global Technology, Media and Telecom Conference (May 22-24)
  • Wed May 24 - UBS Global Healthcare Conference (May 22-24)
  • Thurs May 25 – US advance goods trade balance for Apr. 8:30amET.
  • Thurs May 25 – US wholesale inventories for Apr. 8:30amET.
  • Thurs May 25 – analyst meetings: CIR, DATA, DVA, QRVO
  • Thurs May 25 – earnings before the open: ANF, BBY, BURL, CBK, GCO, HRL, MDT, NOMD, Royal Bank of Canada, SIG
  • Thurs May 25 – earnings after the close: BRCD, COST, DXC, EGHT, GME, LGF, MRVL, NTNX, SCVL, SPLK, ULTA, VEEV, VNET, ZOES
  • Fri May 26 – US Q1 GDP revisions. 8:30amET.
  • Fri May 26 – US durable goods for Apr. 8:30amET.
  • Fri May 26 – Michigan confidence numbers for May. 10amET.
  • Sat May 27 – China industrial profits for Apr. Fri night/Sat morning.
  • Mon May 29 – Eurozone M3 money supply for Apr. 4amET.
  • Mon May 29 – US markets closed for Memorial Day
  • Tues May 30 – Eurozone confidence measures for May.
  • Tues May 30 – US personal income/spending/PCE for Apr. 8:30amET.
  • Tues May 30 – US S&P home prices for Mar. 9amET.
  • Tues May 30 – US conf. board confidence for May. 10amET.
  • Tues May 30 – earnings before the open: Bank of Nova Scotia
  • Tues May 30 - Deutsche Bank Global Financial Services Conference. May 30-31.
  • Wed May 31 – China NBS manufacturing/non-manufacturing PMI for May. Tues night/Wed morning.
  • Wed May 31 – Eurozone UR for Apr and CPI for May. 5amET.
  • Wed May 31 – US Chicago purchasing managers for May. 9:45amET.
  • Wed May 31 – US pending home sales for Apr. 10amET.
  • Wed May 31 – US Beige Book. 2pmET.
  • Wed May 31 – Brazil rate decision
  • Wed May 31 – earnings before the open: ADI, KORS, VRA
  • Wed May 31 – earnings after the close: BOX, PANW
  • Wed May 31 - Bernstein Strategic Decisions Conference (May 31-June 2)
  • Wed May 31 - Cowen and Company Technology, Media & Telecom Conference. May 31- June 1.
  • Wed May 31 - Deutsche Bank Global Financial Services Conference. May 30-31.
  • Wed May 31 - KeyBanc Capital Markets 2017 Industrial, Automotive & Transportation Conference. May 31-June 1.
  • Thurs June 1 – China Caixin manufacturing PMI for May (Wed night/Thurs morning).
  • Thurs June 1 – Eurozone manufacturing PMI for May. 4amET.
  • Thurs June 1 – US ADP jobs report for May. 8:15amET.
  • Thurs June 1 – US nonfarm productivity/Q1 unit labor costs for Q1. 8:30amET.
  • Thurs June 1 – US Markit manufacturing PMI for May. 9:45amET.
  • Thurs June 1 – US manufacturing ISM for May. 10amET.
  • Thurs June 1 – US construction spending for Apr. 10amET.
  • Thurs June 1 – US auto sales for May.
  • Thurs June 1 – analyst meetings: CAH
  • Thurs June 1 – earnings before the open: CIEN
  • Thurs June 1 – earnings after the close: AVGO, COO, VMW, WDAY
  • Thurs June 1 - Bernstein Strategic Decisions Conference (May 31-June 2)
  • Thurs June 1 - Cowen and Company Technology, Media & Telecom Conference. May 31-
  • Thurs June 1 - KeyBanc Capital Markets 2017 Industrial, Automotive & Transportation Conference. May 31-June 1.
  • Fri June 2 – Eurozone PPI for Apr. 5amET.
  • Fri June 2 – US trade balance for Apr. 8:30amET.
  • Fri June 2 – US jobs report for May. 8:30amET.
  • Fri June 2 – analyst meetings: ICE
  • Fri June 2 - Bernstein Strategic Decisions Conference (May 31-June 2)
  • Mon June 5 – China Caixin services PMI for May (Sun night/Mon morning)
  • Mon June 5 – US Markit services PMI for May. 9:45amET.
  • Mon June 5 – US non-manufacturing ISM for May. 10amET.
  • Mon June 5 – US factory orders/durable goods for Apr. 10amET.
  • Mon June 5 – analyst meetings: CNO
  • Mon June 5 – AAPL WWDC 2017. June 5-9. San Jose.
  • Tues June 6 – New Zealand rate decision (early Tues morning).
  • Tues June 6 – Eurozone services PMI for May. 4amET.
  • Tues June 6 – Eurozone retail sales for Apr. 5amET.
  • Tues June 6 – US JOLTs job openings data for Apr. 10amET.
  • Tues June 6 – US labor market conditions index for May. 10amET.
  • Tues June 6 – analyst meetings: M, PRU
  • Tues June 6 – earnings before the open: CSIQ
  • Tues June 6 – earnings after the close: AMBA
  • Tues June 6 - Bank of America Merrill Lynch 2017 Global Technology Conference. June 6-7. San Francisco.
  • Tues June 6 - Jefferies Global Healthcare Conference. June 6-9. NYC.
  • Tues June 6 - RBC Capital Markets Global Energy Conference. June 6-7. NYC.
  • Tues June 6 – REITWeek: NAREIT Investor Forum. June 6-8. NYC.
  • Tues June 6 – Wells Fargo Financial Services Investor Forum. June 6-7. San Francisco.
  • Wed June 7 – China FX reserve numbers for May (Tues night/Wed morning)
  • Wed June 7 – India RBI rate decision. 5amET.
  • Wed June 7 – US consumer credit for Apr. 3pmET.
  • Wed June 7 – analysts meetings: RJF, TAP, WCC
  • Wed June 7 – earnings after the close: TLRD
  • Wed June 7 - Bank of America Merrill Lynch 2017 Global Technology Conference. June 6-7. San Francisco.
  • Wed June 7 - Jefferies Global Healthcare Conference. June 6-9. NYC.
  • Wed June 7 - RBC Capital Markets Global Energy Conference. June 6-7. NYC.
  • Wed June 7 - REITWeek: NAREIT Investor Forum. June 6-8. NYC.
  • Thurs June 8 – China May imports/exports (Wed night/Thurs morning)
  • Thurs June 8 – ECB meeting (7:45amET statement, 8:30amET press conf.).
  • Thurs June 8 – analyst meetings: SYMC
  • Thurs June 8 – earnings before the open: Dell, SJM
  • Thurs June 8 – earnings after the close: Hudson’s Bay, PAY
  • Thurs June 8 - Jefferies Global Healthcare Conference. June 6-9. NYC.
  • Thurs June 8 - REITWeek: NAREIT Investor Forum. June 6-8. NYC.
  • Fri June 9 – China May CPI/PPI (Thurs night/Fri morning)
  • Fri June 9 – US wholesale inventories/trade sales for Apr. 10amET.
  • Fri June 9 - Jefferies Global Healthcare Conference. June 6-9. NYC.
  • Tues June 13 – US PPI for May. 8:30amET.
  • Tues June 13 – Morgan Stanley Financials Conf. June 13-14.
  • Wed June 14 – US CPI and retail sales for May. 8:30amET.
  • Wed June 14 – US business inventories for Apr. 10amET.
  • Wed June 14 – Fed decision (2pmET statement; 2:30pmET press conf.).
  • Wed June 14 – analyst meetings: MAT
  • Wed June 14 - Morgan Stanley Financials Conf. June 13-14.
  • Thurs June 15 – US Empire Manufacturing for June. 8:30amET.
  • Thurs June 15 – US import price index for May.
  • Thurs June 15 – US industrial production for May. 9:15amET.
  • Thurs June 15 – NAHB housing market index for June. 10amET.
  • Fri June 16 – BOJ rate decision (Thurs night/Fri morning)
  • Fri June 16 – US housing starts/building permits for May. 8:30amET.
  • Fri June 16 – US Michigan Confidence for June. 10amET.
  • Fri June 16 – analyst meetings: GLW
submitted by SIThereAndThere to The_Street [link] [comments]


2017.03.15 13:24 SIThereAndThere J.P. Morgan Early Look at the Market – Wed 3.15.17

PLEASE DO NOT FORWARD THIS DOCUMENT
Find full shit here

Trading Update

Top Headlines for Wednesday

US – fiscal policy

Opinion/Interesting-but-not-immediately-impactful/intra-day boredom reading:

M&A/Strategic Actions

Full catalyst list

  • Thurs Mar 16 – BOJ decision (Wed night/Thurs morning)
  • Thurs Mar 16 – SNB rate decision (Thurs morning)
  • Thurs Mar 16 – Eurozone Feb auto registration data. 3amET.
  • Thurs Mar 16 – Eurozone final Feb CPI. 6amET.
  • Thurs Mar 16 – BOE decision (8amET).
  • Thurs Mar 16 – US housing starts/building permits for Feb. 8:30amET.
  • Thurs Mar 16 – US Philadelphia Fed for Mar. 8:30amET.
  • Thurs Mar 16 – US JOLTs for Jan. 10amET.
  • Thurs Mar 16 – analyst meetings: ALB, OMI, RYAM
  • Thurs Mar 16 – earnings before the open: DG
  • Thurs Mar 16 – earnings after the close: ADBE, VSLR
  • Thurs Mar 16 - Barclays Global Healthcare Conference. Mar 14-16. Miami.
  • Fri Mar 17 - G20 Fin Min/central bank governors meeting Mar 17-18 in Germany
  • Fri Mar 17 – Eurozone trade balance for Jan. 6amET.
  • Fri Mar 17 – Eurozone construction output report for Jan. 6amET.
  • Fri Mar 17 – US IP for Feb. 9:15amET.
  • Fri Mar 17 – Michigan confidence numbers for Mar. 10amET.
  • Fri Mar 17 – earnings before the open: TIF
  • Sat Mar 18 – China Feb property prices (Fri night/Sat morning)
  • Sat Mar 18 - G20 Fin Min/central bank governors meeting Mar 17-18 in Germany
  • Mon Mar 20 – Eurozone labor cost report for Q4. 6amET.
  • Mon Mar 20 - Gorsuch’s Senate confirmation hearing scheduled to begin Mar 20
  • Mon Mar 20 – Fed speakers: Evans
  • Mon Mar 20 – analyst meetings: BNP
  • Tues Mar 21 – RBA Mar rate meeting minutes (Mon night/Tues morning)
  • Tues Mar 21 – Fed speakers: George, Mester
  • Tues Mar 21 – analyst meetings: MAR, MDRX, TEN
  • Tues Mar 21 – earnings before the open: CMCM, FRAN, FSAM, GIS, LE, LEN
  • Tues Mar 21 – earnings after the close: FDX, HQY, NKE, SCS
  • Wed Mar 22 – BOJ minutes from 1/30-31 meeting (Tues night/Wed morning)
  • Wed Mar 22 – US FHFA home prices for Jan. 9amET.
  • Wed Mar 22 – US existing home sales for Feb. 10amET.
  • Wed Mar 22 – analyst meetings: CSTM
  • Wed Mar 22 – earnings before the open: QIWI, WGO
  • Wed Mar 22 – earnings after the close: FIVE, PVH
  • Thurs Mar 23 – ECB publishes economic bulletin. 5amET.
  • Thurs Mar 23 – Yellen speaks at Community Development Conf. 8amET.
  • Thurs Mar 23 – Fed speakers: Yellen, Kashkari
  • Thurs Mar 23 – US new home sales for Feb. 10amET.
  • Thurs Mar 23 – analyst meetings: ARRS
  • Thurs Mar 23 – earnings before the open: ACN, CMC
  • Thurs Mar 23 – earnings after the close: BAS, GME, KBH, MU, SCVL
  • Fri Mar 24 – Eurozone flash PMIs for Mar. 5amET.
  • Fri Mar 24 – Fed speakers: Evans, Bullard
  • Fri Mar 24 – US durable goods for Feb. 8:30amET.
  • Fri Mar 24 – US flash manufacturing PMI for Mar. 9:45amET.
  • Mon Mar 27 – US Dallas Fed manufacturing index for Mar. 10:30amET.
  • Mon Mar 27 – Fed speakers: Evans
  • Mon Mar 27 – earnings after the close: RHT
  • Tues Mar 28 – US advanced goods trade balance for Feb. 8:30amET.
  • Tues Mar 28 – US wholesale inventories for Feb. 8:30amET.
  • Tues Mar 28 – US Case Shiller home price index for Jan. 9amET.
  • Tues Mar 28 – US flash services PMI for Mar. 9:45amET.
  • Tues Mar 28 – US Consumer Confidence for Mar. 10amET.
  • Tues Mar 28 – analyst meetings: CY
  • Tues Mar 28 – earnings before the open: DRI
  • Tues Mar 28 – earnings after the close: SONC
  • Wed Mar 29 – US pending home sales for Feb. 10amET.
  • Wed Mar 29 – analyst meetings: ALK
  • Wed Mar 29 – earnings before the open: PAYX
  • Thurs Mar 30 – US Q4 GDP/PCE revisions
  • Thurs Mar 30 – earnings before the open: SAIC
  • Fri Mar 31 – US personal income/spending/PCE for Feb. 8:30amET.
  • Fri Mar 31 – US Chicago PMI for Mar. 9:45amET.
  • Fri Mar 31 – US Michigan confidence numbers for Mar.
  • Mon Apr 3 – US Markit manufacturing PMI for Mar. 9:45amET.
  • Mon Apr 3 – US manufacturing ISM for Mar. 10amET.
  • Mon Apr 3 – US construction spending for Feb. 10amET.
  • Mon Apr 3 – US auto sales numbers for Mar.
  • Tues Apr 4 – RBA rate decision (Mon night/Tues morning)
  • Tues Apr 4 – US trade balance for Feb. 8:30amET.
  • Tues Apr 4 – US factory orders for Feb. 10amET.
  • Tues Apr 4 – US durable goods for Feb. 10amET.
  • Tues Apr 4 – analyst meetings: XYL
  • Tues Apr 4 – earnings after the close: Hudson’s Bay
  • Wed Apr 5 – US ADP jobs report for Mar. 8:15amET.
  • Wed Apr 5 – US services PMI for Mar. 9:45amET.
  • Wed Apr 5 – US non-manufacturing ISM for Mar. 10amET.
  • Wed Apr 5 – Fed minutes from 3/15 meeting (2pmET)
  • Wed Apr 5 – analyst meetings: Dell, NTAP
  • Wed Apr 5 – earnings before the open: MON, WBA
  • Wed Apr 5 – earnings after the close: BBBY, RECN, YUMC
  • Thurs Apr 6 – India RBI rate decision (5amET)
  • Thurs Apr 6 – ECB meeting minutes (7:30amET)
  • Thurs Apr 6 – earnings before the open: HOFT, KMX, STZ
  • Thurs Apr 6 – earnings after the close: PSMT
  • Fri Apr 7 – US jobs report for Mar. 8:30amET.
  • Fri Apr 7 – US wholesale trade sales/inventories for Feb. 10amET.
  • Fri Apr 7 – US consumer credit for Feb. 3pmET.
  • Mon Apr 10 – US labor market conditions index for Mar. 10amET.
  • Tues Apr 11 – US JOLTs for Feb. 10amET.
  • Wed Apr 12 – US import prices for Mar. 8:30amET.
  • Wed Apr 12 – Bank of Canada rate decision (10amET)
  • Wed Apr 12 – Brazilian central bank rate decision
  • Thurs Apr 13 – US PPI for Mar. 8:30amET.
  • Thurs Apr 13 – US Michigan confidence for Apr. 10amET.
  • Fri Apr 14 – US CPI for Mar. 8:30amET.
  • Fri Apr 14 – US retail sales for Mar. 8:30amET.
  • Fri Apr 14 – US business inventories for Feb. 10amET.
  • Wed Apr 19 – Fed Beige Book (2pmET)
submitted by SIThereAndThere to wallstreetbets [link] [comments]


2017.03.15 13:07 SIThereAndThere J.P. Morgan Early Look at the Market – Wed 3.15.17

J.P. Morgan Early Look at the Market – Wed 3.15.17
PLEASE DO NOT FORWARD THIS DOCUMENT

Trading Update

Calendar for Wed 3/15

Top Headlines for Wednesday

US – fiscal policy

Opinion/Interesting-but-not-immediately-impactful/intra-day boredom reading:

M&A/Strategic Actions

Full catalyst list

  • Thurs Mar 16 – BOJ decision (Wed night/Thurs morning)
  • Thurs Mar 16 – SNB rate decision (Thurs morning)
  • Thurs Mar 16 – Eurozone Feb auto registration data. 3amET.
  • Thurs Mar 16 – Eurozone final Feb CPI. 6amET.
  • Thurs Mar 16 – BOE decision (8amET).
  • Thurs Mar 16 – US housing starts/building permits for Feb. 8:30amET.
  • Thurs Mar 16 – US Philadelphia Fed for Mar. 8:30amET.
  • Thurs Mar 16 – US JOLTs for Jan. 10amET.
  • Thurs Mar 16 – analyst meetings: ALB, OMI, RYAM
  • Thurs Mar 16 – earnings before the open: DG
  • Thurs Mar 16 – earnings after the close: ADBE, VSLR
  • Thurs Mar 16 - Barclays Global Healthcare Conference. Mar 14-16. Miami.
  • Fri Mar 17 - G20 Fin Min/central bank governors meeting Mar 17-18 in Germany
  • Fri Mar 17 – Eurozone trade balance for Jan. 6amET.
  • Fri Mar 17 – Eurozone construction output report for Jan. 6amET.
  • Fri Mar 17 – US IP for Feb. 9:15amET.
  • Fri Mar 17 – Michigan confidence numbers for Mar. 10amET.
  • Fri Mar 17 – earnings before the open: TIF
  • Sat Mar 18 – China Feb property prices (Fri night/Sat morning)
  • Sat Mar 18 - G20 Fin Min/central bank governors meeting Mar 17-18 in Germany
  • Mon Mar 20 – Eurozone labor cost report for Q4. 6amET.
  • Mon Mar 20 - Gorsuch’s Senate confirmation hearing scheduled to begin Mar 20
  • Mon Mar 20 – Fed speakers: Evans
  • Mon Mar 20 – analyst meetings: BNP
  • Tues Mar 21 – RBA Mar rate meeting minutes (Mon night/Tues morning)
  • Tues Mar 21 – Fed speakers: George, Mester
  • Tues Mar 21 – analyst meetings: MAR, MDRX, TEN
  • Tues Mar 21 – earnings before the open: CMCM, FRAN, FSAM, GIS, LE, LEN
  • Tues Mar 21 – earnings after the close: FDX, HQY, NKE, SCS
  • Wed Mar 22 – BOJ minutes from 1/30-31 meeting (Tues night/Wed morning)
  • Wed Mar 22 – US FHFA home prices for Jan. 9amET.
  • Wed Mar 22 – US existing home sales for Feb. 10amET.
  • Wed Mar 22 – analyst meetings: CSTM
  • Wed Mar 22 – earnings before the open: QIWI, WGO
  • Wed Mar 22 – earnings after the close: FIVE, PVH
  • Thurs Mar 23 – ECB publishes economic bulletin. 5amET.
  • Thurs Mar 23 – Yellen speaks at Community Development Conf. 8amET.
  • Thurs Mar 23 – Fed speakers: Yellen, Kashkari
  • Thurs Mar 23 – US new home sales for Feb. 10amET.
  • Thurs Mar 23 – analyst meetings: ARRS
  • Thurs Mar 23 – earnings before the open: ACN, CMC
  • Thurs Mar 23 – earnings after the close: BAS, GME, KBH, MU, SCVL
  • Fri Mar 24 – Eurozone flash PMIs for Mar. 5amET.
  • Fri Mar 24 – Fed speakers: Evans, Bullard
  • Fri Mar 24 – US durable goods for Feb. 8:30amET.
  • Fri Mar 24 – US flash manufacturing PMI for Mar. 9:45amET.
  • Mon Mar 27 – US Dallas Fed manufacturing index for Mar. 10:30amET.
  • Mon Mar 27 – Fed speakers: Evans
  • Mon Mar 27 – earnings after the close: RHT
  • Tues Mar 28 – US advanced goods trade balance for Feb. 8:30amET.
  • Tues Mar 28 – US wholesale inventories for Feb. 8:30amET.
  • Tues Mar 28 – US Case Shiller home price index for Jan. 9amET.
  • Tues Mar 28 – US flash services PMI for Mar. 9:45amET.
  • Tues Mar 28 – US Consumer Confidence for Mar. 10amET.
  • Tues Mar 28 – analyst meetings: CY
  • Tues Mar 28 – earnings before the open: DRI
  • Tues Mar 28 – earnings after the close: SONC
  • Wed Mar 29 – US pending home sales for Feb. 10amET.
  • Wed Mar 29 – analyst meetings: ALK
  • Wed Mar 29 – earnings before the open: PAYX
  • Thurs Mar 30 – US Q4 GDP/PCE revisions
  • Thurs Mar 30 – earnings before the open: SAIC
  • Fri Mar 31 – US personal income/spending/PCE for Feb. 8:30amET.
  • Fri Mar 31 – US Chicago PMI for Mar. 9:45amET.
  • Fri Mar 31 – US Michigan confidence numbers for Mar.
  • Mon Apr 3 – US Markit manufacturing PMI for Mar. 9:45amET.
  • Mon Apr 3 – US manufacturing ISM for Mar. 10amET.
  • Mon Apr 3 – US construction spending for Feb. 10amET.
  • Mon Apr 3 – US auto sales numbers for Mar.
  • Tues Apr 4 – RBA rate decision (Mon night/Tues morning)
  • Tues Apr 4 – US trade balance for Feb. 8:30amET.
  • Tues Apr 4 – US factory orders for Feb. 10amET.
  • Tues Apr 4 – US durable goods for Feb. 10amET.
  • Tues Apr 4 – analyst meetings: XYL
  • Tues Apr 4 – earnings after the close: Hudson’s Bay
  • Wed Apr 5 – US ADP jobs report for Mar. 8:15amET.
  • Wed Apr 5 – US services PMI for Mar. 9:45amET.
  • Wed Apr 5 – US non-manufacturing ISM for Mar. 10amET.
  • Wed Apr 5 – Fed minutes from 3/15 meeting (2pmET)
  • Wed Apr 5 – analyst meetings: Dell, NTAP
  • Wed Apr 5 – earnings before the open: MON, WBA
  • Wed Apr 5 – earnings after the close: BBBY, RECN, YUMC
  • Thurs Apr 6 – India RBI rate decision (5amET)
  • Thurs Apr 6 – ECB meeting minutes (7:30amET)
  • Thurs Apr 6 – earnings before the open: HOFT, KMX, STZ
  • Thurs Apr 6 – earnings after the close: PSMT
  • Fri Apr 7 – US jobs report for Mar. 8:30amET.
  • Fri Apr 7 – US wholesale trade sales/inventories for Feb. 10amET.
  • Fri Apr 7 – US consumer credit for Feb. 3pmET.
  • Mon Apr 10 – US labor market conditions index for Mar. 10amET.
  • Tues Apr 11 – US JOLTs for Feb. 10amET.
  • Wed Apr 12 – US import prices for Mar. 8:30amET.
  • Wed Apr 12 – Bank of Canada rate decision (10amET)
  • Wed Apr 12 – Brazilian central bank rate decision
  • Thurs Apr 13 – US PPI for Mar. 8:30amET.
  • Thurs Apr 13 – US Michigan confidence for Apr. 10amET.
  • Fri Apr 14 – US CPI for Mar. 8:30amET.
  • Fri Apr 14 – US retail sales for Mar. 8:30amET.
  • Fri Apr 14 – US business inventories for Feb. 10amET.
  • Wed Apr 19 – Fed Beige Book (2pmET)
submitted by SIThereAndThere to The_Street [link] [comments]


2017.02.13 14:42 SIThereAndThere **PLEASE DO NOT FORWARD THIS DOCUMENT** -- Early Look at the Market – Mon 2.13.17

View full doc here that's formatted: https://jpst.it/TpWT
Last one got: 4,200+ views (yikes)
Many have asked where these documents were the past week. Pretty simple, faggots from all brigaded this Subreddit. Waited for the shit storm to die off so we can give our normal peeps the 420 411.
Also got my addy script refilled (thank you, competitive insurance plans).
EXTREME VETTING IS STILL IN EFFECT
#STAY WOKE
If you can't afford to lose, you can't afford to win

Morning Levels

• US futures are up 2 points • Asia: Japan Nikkei +0.41%, Japan TOPIX +0.49%, China +0.63%, Hong Kong +0.58%, KOSPI 
+0.17%, Taiwan +0.46%, Australia +0.70% • EuroStoxx 50 +0.52%, FTSE +0.07%, DAX +0.57%, CAC +0.75%, Italy +0.57%, Spain +0.42% • USD (DXY) down 0.03%, EUR down 0.02%, GBP up 0.22%, JPY down 0.45%, CNY Onshore unch, CNH Offshore down 0.17%, AUD up 0.03% • VIX up 4.98% to 11.39 • Gold down 0.23% to $1,230.78 • Silver up 0.12% to $17.96 • Copper up 0.56% to $278.35 • WTI Crude down 0.54% to $53.57 • Brent Crude down 0.48% to $56.43 • Natural Gas down 1.81% to $2.98 • Corn down 0.27% to $3.74/bu • Wheat down 0.67% to $4.46/bu • Treasuries 2yr yields are up ~1.2bps at 1.202%, 10yr yields are up ~2.1bps at 2.429% and 30yr yields are up ~2.2bps at 3.028% • Japan 10yr yields 0.083%, up ~0.7bps on the day • France 10yr yields 1.033%, down ~1.1bps on the day • Italy 10yr yields 2.269%, up ~1.4bps on the day • Spain 10yr yields 1.678%, down ~0.2bps on the day • Germany 10yr yields 0.325%, up ~1.0bps on the day

Trading Update

• Market update – there isn’t too much to mention on the macro front, esp. from the 
perspective of US equities. The main headlines out of Washington concerned potential White House staff shakeups w/Michael Flynn appearing esp. at risk. Economic and company-specific headlines were relatively sparse. North Korea fired a missile Sat night but it wasn’t of intercontinental-range (and thus isn’t disrupting financial markets) while the Abe/Thy God-Emperor Trump summit was most notable for what didn’t happen (there was no material rhetoric around trade, FX, or defense spending). • Calendar for Mon Feb 13 – the only major events on 2/13 are earnings-related (FDC and TEVA pre-open and ACGL, CSOD, DDR, OMF, RNG, and VNO after the close). Also Thy God-Emperor Trump will be hosting Canadian PM Trudeau at the White House and Mnuchin could be confirmed as Treasury Sec. as soon as Mon night. • FX – the DXY is flattish overall. The JPY is down ~45-50bp after the Abe/Thy God-Emperor Trump summit ended w/o any contentious rhetoric around trade or FX.
• Eurozone equities – the major indices are trading up ~35-50bp. Gains are broad but autos, 
basic resources, chemicals, and media are outperforming while banks, telecoms, and retail underperform. Stada is rallying after receiving two takeout bids. • Asia – stocks gained across the board in Asia: Japan (TPX +0.49%, NKY +0.41%), HK (Hang Seng +0.58%, HSCEI +1.31%), mainland China (SHCOMP +0.63%, Shenzhen +0.74%, CSI 300 +0.67%), Taiwan (TAIEX +0.46%), Korea (KOSPI +0.17%), Australia (ASX 200 +0.7%), and India (up 5-10bp for the major indices). There weren’t too many major headlines. Japan’s GDP was a touch below the St. China’s PBOC resumed issuing reverse repos following a 6-day halt. Media reports in China suggest the CNY could stabilize around current levels. • HK/China – the major indices traded well in HK and on the mainland. Major news was relatively quiet. Within the Hang Seng, telecoms and fins outperformed while real estate, consumer discretionary, and utilities lagged. China Life, AAC Tech, China Resources Power, ICBC, Bank of China, Belle Int’l, and HKEX all outperformed while Li & Fung, Sands China, Link REIT, Sino Land, and China Mengniu Dairy underperformed. • Japan - Risk-on sentiment continued with a Cyclical-led rally taking hold on firm commodity prices and USDJPY's tread higher towards the 114 handle as Abe/Thy God-Emperor Trump meetings ended without any conflict on trade or currency issues. Commodity related names led the charge: Oil plays Mining +4.5% and Oil +2.6% rallied on Fri's IEA production data of 90% compliance to agreed cuts, along with Inpex's strong earnings results. Copper-sensitives (SMM +2.7%, Dowa +4.2%, Mit Materials +5.7%) were strong after Copper's +5% move on BHP Escondida's strike and as the stand-off between FCX and Indonesia continued. There was also an interesting rotation within the rest of the Cyclical/Beta space with lagging Autos +0.7%, Shippers +1.5%, Elec Appliance +0.9% extending gains, while some recent outperformers (Machinery, Chems...) appeared to be getting unwound - of note, popular 'Thy God-Emperor Trump' proxy trades like Softbank -1.5%, Fanuc -0.2%, Keyence -0.7% were unable to break higher. In earnings: 85% of cos in TPX have reported with a 70% positive surprise ratio. Today - Daifuku +8.4%, Nabtesco +6.3% jumped after solid earnings while Iida -8.5%, Lion - 7.6% traded lower on their inline results. Toshiba +5% edged higher ahead of its earnings tomorrow. • US macro update: the backdrop for the SPX remains largely unchanged. Current earnings and growth trends alone could result in SPX EPS of ~$127 in ’17 and ~$135-137 in ’18 w/o anything happening in Washington (recall the nominal growth improvement commenced prior to the election on 11/8). On these numbers the PE for ’17 is rich at ~18.25x but falls to ~17x using the ~$136 assumption for ’18. Full implementation of the Thy God-Emperor Trump/Ryan fiscal agenda could add as much as $8-12 to SPX EPS and using ~$145 in ’18 would bring the current PE to a reasonable ~16x. However, it is by no means a given that Thy God-Emperor Trump/Ryan can move their blueprint through the Senate and in fact risks are rising for an extended period of gridlock as Republicans grapple with their ACA repeal/replace pledge while tax/spending plans run into enormous fiscal (limited balance sheet capacity), logistical (Senate math), and ideological (deficit hawk resistance) obstacles.

Top Headlines for Monday

• Thy God-Emperor Trump White House shakeup possible w/Flynn’s role as Nat. Sec. Advisor looking 
increasingly tenuous – the White House is reviewing whether to retain Flynn as National Security Advisor amid a metastasizing scandal involving contacts w/Russian officials over US sanctions prior to Thy God-Emperor Trump’s inauguration. Some within the White House are hoping Flynn resigns on his own (http://on.wsj.com/2kBu3gr). The NYT talks about “turmoil” within the National Security Council, not only b/c of Flynn’s Russia controversy but also due to his poor management skills and a lack of coordination w/the White House and other agencies (like State, Defense, the CIA, etc.). The Times talks about NSC employees waking up in the morning and struggling to construct a foreign policy based on Thy God-Emperor Trump’s overnight twitter postings (http://nyti.ms/2l66Gz6). o Thy God-Emperor Trump considering staff shakeup – while Michael Flynn is most at risk, Thy God-Emperor Trump is apparently considering other changes as well. Thy God-Emperor Trump has told several people he is particularly displeased w/Flynn. Spicer and Priebus also could be on thin ice. Politico. http://politi.co/2lHkOfY o Reince Priebus comes under scrutiny from Thy God-Emperor Trump friend – a longtime friend of Thy God-Emperor Trump who met w/him over the weekend in Florida issued a public criticism of Reince Priebus and suggested the White House may not stabilize until a new chief of staff has been installed. Christopher Ruddy, the chief executive of Newsmax Media, said Priebus was in over his head (http://nyti.ms/2kJP0s9). According to a Politico article, Kellyanne Conway is angling to become the next chief of staff (http://politi.co/2kzElxP). • Company-specific news update for Mon morning – according to Reuters, China’s Sinochem is in early talks to buy a stake in commodities trader Noble Group (http://reut.rs/2l6s2wu). The FT had an article discussing China’s Dalian Wanda Group holding talks to buy Deutsche Bank’s Postbank unit although Dalian has since come out and denied this report (http://reut.rs/2lHmJB1). Stada is spiking in European trading after the co said it has received two takeover bids and Co-Operative Bank has put itself up for sale. ON reported earnings Sun afternoon and results/guidance were nicely ahead of the St and Digitimes says MU is considering a sale of its NOR assets (http://bit.ly/2lAEEg0). The NY Post says AMZN is considering an HBO-like premium video channel to house its growing library of proprietary content (http://nyp.st/2l6nczo). VZ will introduce an unlimited data plan Mon, its first in more than five years; the move is a change in direction for VZ and reflects escalating competition in the industry (Reuters http://reut.rs/2l9pjlF). • Eco data recap for Mon morning – the only major numbers came out of Japan w/Q4 GDP coming in +1% (about inline w/the St +1.1%). The GDP result was a disappointment vs. the JPMorgan forecast of +2% (http://bit.ly/2kYHA2J). The European Commission raised its growth forecasts for ’17 and ’18 for the EU (from +1.5% to +1.6% for ’17 and from +1.7% to +1.8% for ’18). • China is considering a “radical” plan to cut smog in the country – the gov’t could force more steel and aluminum output cuts, ban coal from one of the top ports, and shutter certain fertilizer and drug plants – Reuters http://reut.rs/2kBDbBH • China – the yuan will likely stabilize around current levels according to an article in Xinhua as Chinese growth improves and its relationship w/the Thy God-Emperor Trump administration advances - http://bit.ly/2kIt5S0 • China – the PBOC has resumed issuing reverse repos following a 6-day halt – Bloomberg http://bloom.bg/2kBKjOw Top Headlines from the Weekend • Thy God-Emperor Trump’s foreign policy is proving to be a lot less radical than feared – both the NYT (http://nyti.ms/2l0fc2H) and WSJ (http://on.wsj.com/2l3kuKW) note how Thy God-Emperor Trump is quietly adopting some of the major decades-old tenets of US foreign policy in a reversal from his campaign rhetoric. Thy God-Emperor Trump has backed away from unorthodox views on matters including China/Taiwan, Israel/settlements, Iran, NATO, and other large foreign policy issues. Despite fears of a disruptive foreign policy Thy God-Emperor Trump is proving to be quite quotidian. • North Korea – North Korea fired a ballistic missile towards the sea off its eastern coast Sat night (ET) although it wasn’t of intercontinental-range (which would have been a much more provocative step). The US military said the missile didn’t pose a threat to North America. Thy God-Emperor Trump and Japanese PM Abe held a hastily arranged joint appearance in response; Abe called the launch “absolutely intolerable” while Thy God-Emperor Trump didn’t address the topic directly (although he pledged US support for Japan). NYT. http://nyti.ms/2kGRKXn • NATO expansion – Thy God-Emperor Trump is leaning towards supporting Montenegro’s bid to join NATO despite objections from Russia – WSJ http://on.wsj.com/2lBK4E4 • Gary Cohn the subject of two favorable profiles this weekend, including the NYT (“Thy God-Emperor Trump’s economic cabinet is mostly bare. This man fills the void” http://nyti.ms/2l7Fxvj) and WSJ (“Gary Cohn has emerged as an economic-policy powerhouse in Thy God-Emperor Trump administration” http://on.wsj.com/2lCID7C). Cohn is the driver behind pretty much every aspect of White House economic and tax policy – he is called into the Oval Office up to five times per day for impromptu meetings w/Thy God-Emperor Trump and the two converse on other occasions too. Cohn is tasked w/tax reform (corporate and individual), infrastructure spending (Cohn is in favor of public/private partnerships), and deregulation. Cohn also has been given ACA repeal/replace. o Goldman’s Jim Donovan is under consideration for the #2 job at Treasury although some in the White House are growing concerned about having “too many Goldman people” – Bloomberg http://bloom.bg/2kGNNC8 o Thy God-Emperor Trump plans to nominate David Malpass as US Treasury undersecretary for int’l affairs – Bloomberg http://bloom.bg/2lyoi7B o The most dangerous man in Thy God-Emperor Trump’s universe is a person who usually doesn’t receive much attention: Peter Navarro. Politico discusses how Navarro “could lead us into a global depression – or worse”. Politico. http://politi.co/2kHPxec • Republicans worry about elevated expectations – some within the party are nervous that expectations have become too elevated and that the agenda is now too crowded with politically difficult objectives. “There’s no way we can do all these issues. Think about it. We have two appropriations to do before Sept. 30, plus tax reform, the wall, infrastructure. Any two would be Herculean. My idea that I’ve shared with a few people is we’ve got to prioritize these things. If you only get seven big things half-way down the road, that’s nothing … so you’ve got to prioritize”. Healthcare is still a huge obstacle as ACA repeal/replace needs to happen before anything on the fiscal agenda gets addressed (but the party has yet to coalesce around a healthcare strategy). The Hill http://bit.ly/2kXfgAj • A Tax Overhaul Would Be Great in Theory. Here’s Why It’s So Hard in Practice – the NYT article doesn’t contain any incremental information but it explains why tax reform will be much more complicated to effectuate than markets seem to realize. http://nyti.ms/2kuJw1P • Why Thy God-Emperor Trump's tax reform could still be a long time coming – the article doesn’t contain any incremental information but it notes that tax reform will take a lot longer than the market appreciates. CNBC. http://cnb.cx/2kQR8Ne • “Thy God-Emperor Trump Trade” stalls – inflation expectations surged in the aftermath of 11/8 although have stalled out lately as investors question when fiscal policy changes will actually happen and the ultimate impact of tax reform and infrastructure spending. Meanwhile investors are quietly dialing back expectations around the pace of Fed tightening. WSJ http://on.wsj.com/2kWHNUk • Fed’s Fischer spoke Sat morning in the UK and said there was sig. uncertainty about the outlook for US fiscal policy under Thy God-Emperor Trump but promised to be strict in hitting the dual mandates of full employment and 2% inflation. Fischer also said bank capital requirements shouldn’t be significantly reduced (he doesn’t think Dodd-Frank will be repealed wholly although adjustments to it are possible). Reuters http://reut.rs/2kDLUGh • Fed – Daniel Tarulo, who had been unofficially the Fed’s point man on bank regulation, announced Fri afternoon (at 1:30pmET) that he would resign around Apr 5. The move was largely expected but Tarullo’s departure will leave three vacant seats on the Fed board and thus represents an opportunity for Thy God-Emperor Trump to immediately leave his imprint on monetary
5 policy. According to media reports, David Nason, an executive at GE, has emerged as the leading candidate for the vice chair in charge of bank oversight. WSJ. http://on.wsj.com/2kAXAcS • ECB forward guidance change? A Bloomberg article discusses a push by some at the ECB to moderate the forward guidance language and remove pledges of cutting rates to even lower levels. Given the improved Eurozone growth/inflation figures there is a concern that the current forward guidance could result in a loss of credibility for the ECB – Bloomberg http://bloom.bg/2kl1DXo Calendar of events to watch for the Week of Mon 2/13 • The big focus this week will be on central banks w/two days of Yellen testimony (Senate Tues 2/14 and House Wed 2/15) and ECB meeting minutes (Thurs 2/16). While markets are waiting for some answers on Fed-related matters, the near-term policy outlook isn’t very controversial and thus the Yellen testimony may not be enormously impactful (despite some talk about a Mar hike this looks unlikely at the moment given the present state of economic data). That being said Yellen will probably touch on a host of subjects during the testimony, including the outlook for growth/inflation, the path for near-term tightening (the “dots” are guiding for three hikes in 2017), balance sheet policies, the regulatory outlook (what does Yellen think about Thy God-Emperor Trump’s Dodd-Frank order?), etc. As for the ECB, officials have been vocal lately in pushing back against taper talk but it will be interesting to see if that sentiment comes through in the minutes. In addition to central banks, investors will also be looking at the US inflation numbers (PPI Tues 2/14 and CPI Wed 2/15), US retail sales (Wed 2/15), Netanyahu’s visit to the White House (Wed 2/15), and some Jan-end earnings reports (A Tues night 2/14; ADI Wed morning 2/15; AMAT, CSCO, NTAP, and SNPS after the close Wed 2/15; CPB and DE Fri morning 2/17). • Calendar for Tues Feb 14 – the big events include China CPI/PPI for Jan (Mon night/Tues morning), Eurozone IP/GDP data (5amET), the US PPI (8:30amET), Yellen’s testimony before the Senate, and earnings (CS, DISCA, DPS, MLM, TAP, TMUS, and WSO pre-open and A, CALX, ESRX, FOSL, HUBS, and VDSI after the close). • Calendar for Wed Feb 15 – the focus will be on the US eco data (Feb Empire, Jan CPI, Jan retail sales all at 8:30amET, Jan IP at 9:15amET, and the Feb NAHB housing market index at 10amET), Yellen’s testimony before the House, Netanyahu’s visit to the White House, and earnings (ADI, Danone, Heineken, HLT, HUN, OZM, PEP, SODA, USFD, and WYN pre-open and AMAT, CAR, BS, CF, CSCO, EQIX, GDDY, HAWK, KHC, MAR, MOH, NTAP, QTWO, SNPS, SSNC, TIVO, TRIP, and WMB after the close). • Calendar for Thurs Feb 16 – the focus will be on the ECB meeting minutes (7:30amET), US eco data (Jan housing starts/building permits and Feb Philadelphia Fed at 8:30amET), and earnings (ALXN, AVP, CAB, CHTR, DF, GNC, H, LH, MGM, TIME, WM, and ZTS pre-open and ANET, DLR, MDRX, RSG, VECO, and WMBD after the close). • Calendar for Fri Feb 17 – the only events on this day are earnings-related (Allianz, BLMN, CPB, CTB, DE, FLR, LPNT, MCO, SJM, VFC, and WBC pre-open).

Catalysts for 2017 – big events to watch for 2017 (preliminary list – additional events likely to be

added)
• Yellen testimony – Yellen will provide semiannual monetary testimony Tues 2/14 and Wed 
2/15. • Israel/US – Netanyahu to visit the US on Wed Feb 15. • ECB minutes – minutes from the last ECB meeting will hit Thurs 2/16. • Eurogroup meeting/Greece – many think the Feb 20 Eurogroup meeting may be one of the last opportunities to resolve Greece (as afterwards governments will turn their focus to elections in the Netherlands, France, Germany, and possibly Italy). • Retailers quantify impact of border adjustment – the Jan-end retail earnings season kicks off Tues morning 2/21 w/results due from HD, M, and WMT (note that Mon 2/20 is a holiday in the US). It will be interesting to hear the extent to which mgmt. teams outline the impact of the GOP border tax proposal. • Fed minutes - FOMC minutes from 2/1 meeting Wed 2/22. 2pmET. • Thy God-Emperor Trump to address joint session of Congress – Feb 28. • ECB – the ECB meeting decision will hit Thurs 3/9. • US jobs – the Jan jobs report will hit Fri Mar 10. • Netherlands will have national elections Mar 15. • Fed meeting – first press conf./dot plot decision of the year is Mar 15. • G20 Fin Min/central bank governors meeting Mar 17-18 in Germany. • China’s National People’s Congress (NPC) and Chinese People’s Political Consultative Conference (CPPCC) usually take place in mid-Mar; the gov’t will formally publish its 2017 economic objectives at this event. • US debt ceiling - the debt limit has been suspended since late ’15 but is due to be reinstated on Mar 16, 2017 (although the Treasury will likely be able to extend this date by a couple of months at least). • EU Leaders Summit Mar 25 – this could be the forum at which the UK formally triggers Article 50 (although recent media reports suggest the triggering could come in mid-Mar). • WFC’s “living will” – WFC will resubmit its living will in the Mar timeframe. Normally this wouldn’t be a major event but if WFC’s living will is deemed inadequate again the Fed could raise the company’s capital requirements. • Bank stress tests – US bank stress tests to be submitted to regulators by Apr 5 • France first-round presidential election Apr 23 (run-off is May 7). • US Treasury publishes semi-annual currency report around Apr timeframe (investors will watch China’s designation closely and if it gets labeled a currency manipulator). • US gov’t funding – current spending legislation will keep the gov’t funding until Apr 28 • OPEC – the next formal OPEC summit is May 25 • NATO summit – NATO will hold a summit in May; Montenegro is expected to become a NATO member at this event; Thy God-Emperor Trump will likely attend. • G7 Leaders Summit May 26-27 in Italy. • US financial regulatory review – the Treasury will present recommendations to Thy God-Emperor Trump around the end of May/start of June on ways to ease financial regulations. • Italy – new elections could take place in the June timeframe. • OPEC – the current OPEC supply agreement is due to expire at the end of June. • Russia – European sanctions against Russia are due to expire in June. Given the likely outcome of the French election, they will prob. not be extended (http://on.wsj.com/2iHEYUB). • China/MSCI - MSCI will announce the result of the China A shares inclusion proposal as part of the 2017 Market Classification Review in June 2017. • US bank stress tests – the Fed will publish bank stress test results in June. • G20 Leaders Summit Jul 7-8 2017 in Germany. • Greece – the country faces a bond maturity on Jul 17. • ECB meeting/press conf. Jul 20 – the ECB has said it will discuss potential bond tapering around the middle of 2017. • German elections – the next German elections will be held between Aug and Oct 2017. • Chinese politics – China’s 19th National Congress will take place in the fall of 2017 and will set the country’s political path for the next five years.

Full catalyst list

 • Mon Feb 13 – Thy God-Emperor Trump to host Canadian PM Trudeau at the White House • Mon Feb 13 – GWW Jan sales • Mon Feb 13 – earnings before the open: FDC, HCP, LNCE, ON, TEVA, VSM, WEX • Mon Feb 13 – earnings after the close: ACGL, CHGG, CSOD, DDR, OMF, PDFS, RNG, VNO 
• Tues Feb 14 – China CPI/PPI for Jan. Mon night/Tues morning. • Tues Feb 14 – Germany Q4 GDP. 2amET. • Tues Feb 14 – Germany ZEW survey for Feb. 5amET. • Tues Feb 14 – Eurozone Dec IP. 5amET. • Tues Feb 14 – Eurozone Q4 GDP. 5amET. • Tues Feb 14 – US PPI for Jan. 8:30amET. • Tues Feb 14 – Yellen semi-annual testimony • Tues Feb 14 – earnings before the open: AYR, CS, DISCA, DPS, FLIR, IPGP, MGI, MLM, Rolls- 
Royce, TAP, TMUS, TRU, WSO • Tues Feb 14 – earnings after the close: A, BYD, CALX, CZR, DIOD, ESRX, FOSL, HUBS, LC, LXFT, RPXC, VDSI • Tues Feb 14 – Goldman Tech/Internet Conf. Feb 14-16. San Francisco.
• Wed Feb 15 – Eurozone Dec trade balance. 5amET. • Wed Feb 15 – US Empire Manufacturing for Feb. 8:30amET. • Wed Feb 15 – US CPI for Jan. 8:30amET. • Wed Feb 15 – US retail sales for Jan. 8:30amET. • Wed Feb 15 – US industrial production for Jan. 9:15amET. • Wed Feb 15 – US NAHB housing market index for Feb. 10amET. • Wed Feb 15 – Yellen semi-annual testimony • Wed Feb 15 - Netanyahu to visit the US on Feb 15. • Wed Feb 15 – earnings before the open: ADI, Air Liquide, Akzo Nobel, ANGI, Danone, FUN, 
Heineken, HLT, HUN, OZM, PEP, PLAB, SHOP, SODA, SONS, USFD, WIX, WYN
20 • Wed Feb 15 – earnings after the close: AMAT, CAR, CBS, CC, CF, CSCO, DENN, EQIX, GDDY, GRPN, HAWK, KHC, MAR, MOH, NLY, NTAP, NTES, PHH, QTWO, SNPS, SPWR, SRCL, SSNC, TIVO, TRIP, WMB • Wed Feb 15 - Goldman Tech/Internet Conf. Feb 14-16. San Francisco. • Wed Feb 15 – Leerink Partners Global Healthcare Conf. Feb 15-16. NYC.
• Thurs Feb 16 – Eurozone auto registrations for Jan. • Thurs Feb 16 – ECB meeting minutes. 7:30amET. • Thurs Feb 16 – US housing starts/building permits for Jan. 8:30amET. • Thurs Feb 16 – US Philadelphia Fed for Feb. 8:30amET. • Thurs Feb 16 – analyst meetings: WEN • Thurs Feb 16 – earnings before the open: ALXN, AVP, CAB, Cap Gemini, CHTR, CRAI, DF, 
DUK, EPAM, GNC, H, LH, MGM, Nestle, ONDK, Schneider Electric, TIME, WM, ZTS • Thurs Feb 16 – earnings after the close: ANET, BCOV, CGNX, DLR, FIVN, KEYS, MDRX, RSG, TMST, VECO, WBMD • Thurs Feb 16 - Goldman Tech/Internet Conf. Feb 14-16. San Francisco. • Thurs Feb 16 - Leerink Partners Global Healthcare Conf. Feb 15-16. NYC.
• Fri Feb 17 – analyst meetings: HAS • Fri Feb 17 – earnings before the open: AAN, Allianz, B, BLMN, Bombardier, CPB, CTB, DE, 
FLR, LPNT, MCO, SJM, TYPE, VFC, WBC
• Mon Feb 20 – US markets closed for Washington’s birthday • Mon Feb 20 – US consumer confidence for Feb. 10amET. • Mon Feb 20 – CAGNY conf. Feb 20-24. Boca Raton, FL. 
• Tues Feb 21 – Eurozone flash manufacturing/services PMI for Feb. 4amET. • Tues Feb 21 – US flash manufacturing PMI for Feb. 9:45amET. • Tues Feb 21 – analyst meetings: UPS • Tues Feb 21 – earnings before the open: AER, BHP, GPC, DAKT, HSBC, ECL, HD, M, MDR, 
MDT, SAH, SNI, TVPT, VPG, WLK, WMT • Tues Feb 21 – earnings after the close: NEM, WCN, XPO • Tues Feb 21 - CAGNY conf. Feb 20-24. Boca Raton, FL.
• Wed Feb 22 – Germany IFO for Feb. 4amET. • Wed Feb 22 – Eurozone CPI for Jan. 5amET. • Wed Feb 22 – US existing home sales for Jan. 10amET. • Wed Feb 22 – FOMC minutes from 2/1 meeting. 2pmET. • Wed Feb 22 – earnings before the open: Airbus, Bayer, EV, GRMN, HFC, HSNI, HST, LAMR, 
Lloyds Banking Group, TPH • Wed Feb 22 – earnings after the close: CAKE, CLR, EVTC, LB, PSA, SQ, TROX • Wed Feb 22 - CAGNY conf. Feb 20-24. Boca Raton, FL.
• Thurs Feb 23 – US home price purchase index for Q4. 9amET. • Thurs Feb 23 – US flash services PMI for Feb. 9:45amET. • Thurs Feb 23 – earnings before the open: Aixtron, ANSS, AXA, BAE Systems, Barclays, British 
American Tobacco, BSFT, COMM, DFT, Glencore, Henkel, HRL, KSS, Swiss Re, W • Thurs Feb 23 – earnings after the close: AAOI, GPS, HLF, INTU, JWN, OLED, RMAX, TWOU • Thurs Feb 23 - CAGNY conf. Feb 20-24. Boca Raton, FL.
21 • Fri Feb 24 – US new home sales for Jan. 10amET. • Fri Feb 24 – US Michigan sentiment for Feb. 10amET. • Fri Feb 24 – earnings before the open: BASF, HSC, IAG, JCP, KBR, RBS, Standard Chartered, William Hill • Fri Feb 24 - CAGNY conf. Feb 20-24. Boca Raton, FL.
• Sat Feb 25 – Berkshire reports Q4/’16 earnings and Buffett publishes his annual letter 
• Mon Feb 27 – China Jan industrial profits. Sun night/Mon morning. • Mon Feb 27 – Eurozone M3 money supply for Jan. 4amET. • Mon Feb 27 – Eurozone confidence measures for Feb. 5amET. • Mon Feb 27 – US durable goods for Jan. 8:30amET. • Mon Feb 27 – US pending home sales for Jan. 10amET. • Mon Feb 27 – US Dallas Fed Survey for Feb. 10:30amET. • Mon Feb 27 – earnings before the open: HZNP • Mon Feb 27 – earnings after the close: CST, FTR, PODD • Mon Feb 27 – Mobile World Congress. Feb 27-Mar 2. Barcelona. 
• Tues Feb 28 – Eurozone CPI for Feb. 5amET. • Tues Feb 28 – US Q4 GDP/PCE revisions. 8:30amET. • Tues Feb 28 – US advanced goods trade balance for Jan. 8:30amET. • Tues Feb 28 – US Case-Schiller Dec home price update for Dec. • Tues Feb 28 – US Chicago PMI for Feb. 9:45amET. • Tues Feb 28 – US confidence measures for Feb. 10amET. • Tues Feb 28 – earnings before the open: AZO, Bank of Nova Scotia, BMO, NRG, QVCA, STAY, 
TGT, VRX • Tues Feb 28 - Mobile World Congress. Feb 27-Mar 2. Barcelona.
• Wed Mar 1 – China NBS non-manufacturing/manufacturing PMI for Feb (Tues night/Wed 
morning) • Wed Mar 1 – Eurozone manufacturing PMI fro Feb. 4amET. • Wed Mar 1 – US personal income/spending and PCE for Jan. 8:30amET. • Wed Mar 1 – US Markit manufacturing PMI for Feb. 9:45amET. • Wed Mar 1 – US manufacturing ISM for Feb. 10amET. • Wed Mar 1 – US construction spending for Jan. 10amET. • Wed Mar 1 – US auto sales for Jan. • Wed Mar 1 – US Fed Beige Book. 2pmET. • Wed Mar 1 - Mobile World Congress. Feb 27-Mar 2. Barcelona.
• Thurs Mar 2 – Eurozone PPI/UR for Jan. 5amET. • Thurs Mar 2 - Mobile World Congress. Feb 27-Mar 2. Barcelona. 
• Fri Mar 3 – China Caixin services PMI for Feb (Thurs night/Fri morning) • Fri Mar 3 – Eurozone services PMIs for Feb. 4amET. • Fri Mar 3 – Eurozone retail sales for Jan. 5amET. • Fri Mar 3 – US Markit services PMI for Feb. 9:45amET. • Fri Mar 3 – US non-manufacturing ISM for Feb. 10amET. 
• Mon Mar 6 – US factory orders for Jan. 10amET. • Mon Mar 6 – US durable goods orders for Jan. 10amET. 
• Tues Mar 7 – China FX reserve numbers for Feb. Mon night/Tues morning. • Tues Mar 7 – US trade balance for Jan. 8:30amET. • Tues Mar 7 – US consumer credit for Jan. 3pmET. 
• Wed Mar 8 – US ADP jobs report for Feb. 8:15amET. • Wed Mar 8 – US Q4 unit labor costs/productivity. 8:30amET. • Wed Mar 8 – US wholesale inventories/trade sales for Jan. 10amET. 
• Thurs Mar 9 – ECB decision; 7:45amET statement, 8:30amET press conf. • Thurs Mar 9 – US import prices for Feb. 8:30amET. • Thurs Mar 9 – US household net worth update for Q4. 12pmET. 
• Fri Mar 10 – US jobs report for Feb. 8:30amET. 
• Tues Mar 14 – US PPI for Feb. 8:30amET. 
• Wed Mar 15 – US Empire Manufacturing for Mar. 8:30amET. • Wed Mar 15 – US CPI for Feb. 8:30amET. • Wed Mar 15 – US retail sales for Feb. 8:30amET. • Wed Mar 15 – US NAHB housing index for Mar. 10amET. • Wed Mar 15 – FOMC decision; 2pmET statement/dots, 2:30pmET press conf. 
• Thurs Mar 16 – US housing starts/building permits for Feb. 8:30amET. • Thurs Mar 16 – US Philadelphia Fed for Mar. 8:30amET. • Thurs Mar 16 – US JOLTs for Jan. 10amET. 
• Fri Mar 17 – US IP for Feb. 9:15amET. • Fri Mar 17 – Michigan confidence numbers for Mar. 10amET. 
• Wed Mar 22 – US FHFA home prices for Jan. 9amET. • Wed Mar 22 – US existing home sales for Feb. 10amET. 
• Thurs Mar 23 – US new home sales for Feb. 10amET. 
• Fri Mar 24 – US durable goods for Feb. 8:30amET. • Fri Mar 24 – US flash manufacturing PMI for Mar. 9:45amET. 
submitted by SIThereAndThere to wallstreetbets [link] [comments]


2016.03.09 01:28 amgsmdy ELR year in review

I have been an aficionado of electric cars ever since Tesla came up with their production roadster. I am writing this review because I noticed a gap of reviews, especially long-term ones, for my car, which is rarer than a Tesla roadster, I thought I would share my thoughts and experiences with the EV, Cadillac, and Car community alike. I hope this review sparks conversation and generates more interest in electric vehicles in the mainstream.
Feel free to jump down to the review of the car if you like, but a little of my background and decision-making is helpful, which is why I provided this section.
MY BACKGROUND A little about me first, so that my logic and car evolution makes sense. I have lived all around the US and in Europe but I have grown up in the San Francisco Bay Area. I am 22 years old and am software developer. I love technology and I have grown up with wonderful California weather. My first car was a Volvo C70 ’04 convertible, and then I moved to a Mustang GT ’06 convertible in college. Considering I both went to school (UCSD) and lived in California, convertibles are amazing. While the idea of wind blowing through my hair is appealing, the engineer in me saw the benefits of the electric car. My parents got a Ford Focus Electric in 2013; I had a realization that these cars were here to stay and were going to be the future.
Being a little young and naïve I went and got myself a 2014 Ford Focus Electric as my only car. I knew when I graduated at the end of 2014 I would be working in California with plenty of charging ports and I would make it work. I was going to be green! The pull of the quiet, smooth drive, the cheap “gas” and the minimal (almost nonexistent) maintenance schedule for the length of my lease were significant additional benefits. Additionally, I got to drive a brand new, expensive car, subsidized by the government down to an economical level. Fast-forward to having graduated and the restrictions of the all-electric lifestyle (with a car that had only a 75 mile range) as my ONLY car being a single bachelor became too much. So now I need to find a new car (and unload my lease which is a whole other story). My work offers free charging so I become interested in finding a plug-in hybrid.
TL/DR: I love technology and convertibles, but the pull of the electric car got me around on having a roof. I got an all-electric, which being my only car was too hard, so I got rid of it. I am going to stay electric by getting a plug-in hybrid.
THE HUNT Given the free charging that my work offers, and my long commute, I wanted to stay with an electric car. I had been spoiled by the drive of the all-electric, and in California you save time by getting to use the HOV lane as a single-occupant. I compiled a list of cars that can take advantage of my free charging, get a HOV lane sticker, and qualify for rebates. I will briefly go through my thoughts and test drives. I do a lot of research, especially when it is a purchase this big.
A couple things I found out is that while you are in all-electric territory here in the US, the $7500 rebate applies to everyone, when you go into plug-in territory it changes based on the battery size (IE range). So the Volt got the full $7500, the Fusion a respectable $4400 and the Prius a paltry $2500. Also, not all cars that are eligible for rebates are eligible for a sticker. For example the Porsche plug-in family get government rebates but cannot get California HOV stickers.
When I learned the Volt had a bigger, luxury Cadillac sibling, I had to go check it out. I did more research and learned GM was quietly running some great rebates on the ELR. Costing only a little more than a tricked out Volt, and being childless for the foreseeable future, I went with the ELR. It had the longest range of the current plug-ins and it is a great car.
TL;DR Chevy Volt and Ford Fusion were my favorite. Rebates and stickers have interesting details to consider. Voltec had longest range, went with the ELR
ELR EXPERIENCE I was considering doing a review after I got the car, but I am doing it now having lived with it for a year and 25,000 miles. I primarily use the car for commuting and I take a few road trips. This being my only car, I have put it through its paces. First and foremost I have to say this is a luxury car. I knew this going in, and I have loved all of my time with the car. For frame of reference, I purchased every package except for the Kona seats, because I thought it threw off the interior.
Everything in the car shows attention to detail, and it also shows over 100 years of automotive innovation. The hidden door handles in the massive coupe doors make you feel like you are getting into a science project and modern art piece at the same time. When you sit down in the supple seats and close the door, the CUE system welcomes you with a sci-fi like boot sequence. You notice the feel and design of the steering wheel, the large screens, and the arcing materials. You are cocooned in a tastefully laid out selection of suede, leather, carbon fiber, and wood. There is not a single dial in the car, and when off, just feels modern (more about the CUE later). The traditional design is kept when you look at the shifter knob, it is familiar and it comfortable in hand, not that you will be using it much in a 1-speed.
One of the sayings I love: If you don’t look back at your car after you park it, you bought the wrong car. I bought a piece of automotive artwork, and like most art pieces, it is either liked or disliked strongly. It is edgy, sharp, contoured and very American. I am a proud American and even happier that I get to support American industry, and innovation. The tail lamps are a throwback to the 50s fins on the large Cadillacs, and the headlights are beautifully trimmed in LEDs. Much like the CTS-V coupe, it looks like a Batmobile. This is the only Cadillac car with 20” wheels and they are really sharp. I also love the really low roofline; despite the fact that I am 6’1” and have clearance in the car. It is odd GM had to install A-pillar supports and you have tiny triangular windows, but it helps make the sleek profile. One strike against the design: visibility is poor. In the rear view, there is plenty to see, but there are large blind spots. Luckily these are taken care of by the blind spot monitors. Speaking of the rear view mirror, this one is minimalist, sturdy and a surprising step up from other cars.
The back seats cannot fit anyone taller than 5’6” but has enough legroom even behind me. The back seats are luxurious captains’ chairs in the same leather as the front seats, but because of the large, comfortable front seats and the low roofline, it can feel a bit claustrophobic in the back. They get their own cup-holder (not automatic) and a soft center armrest. It works in a pinch, and is nice if you are small enough, but I would not want to take a road trip there. You can fit a car seat in the back, but a coupe makes access difficult.
TL;DR The car is overflowing with luxury, and the focus is on the front two passengers. The car is a piece of artwork inside and out.
VOLTEC DRIVE TRAIN Commuting or driving in town is where this car excels. It is absolutely a dream, just like one would expect an electric car to perform. With the bump in the power from the larger motor as compared to the Volt, there is plenty of oomph to get off the line, and up to highway speed. The torque is instant and feels quicker than it is, as with any electric car. In all-electric mode it is predictable, quiet, and smooth. Compared to the other drivetrains, this was designed for luxury, there is no torque steer when you floor it, and the car is heavy so the ride is cushioned but not cushy. When the gas engine kicks in, you can hardly hear it. It is designed to deliver just-in-time power, and when on the highway it will quietly putter along. Driving in the city the Voltec operates like a Prius, using battery off the line and then gas to sustain later, and it is here that it breaks down. You come to a stoplight and hear the gas engine making up for the power you just used off the line, and the engine is very non-Cadillac. It is small, and does not sound throaty like or refined like you would expect out of a car with an 80k price tag. Since the ELR has noise canceling I almost never hear the engine, but this raw noise is pumped out to the people looking at the automotive artwork from the sidewalk, and it does not leave a good impression.
The EPA estimates (37 electric, 340 total) are almost perfect. I will get 35 miles of electric range going 75mph on the highway for my commute of 45 miles each way. This has been consistent for winter and summer, although California doesn’t have those big of temperature swings like other states. I have gotten all the way to 46 miles out of the battery just driving around town. When I take a road trip, I get just about 300 miles per tank. I took a trip to Santa Barbara, which is almost exactly 340 miles, and left with both full. I made it in on fumes driving 70-75 the whole way. It was a quiet, and with the automatic cruise control, it was a really easy trip.
I did stress test the system when I went down to San Diego in the summer. Highway 5 is a big, flat, boring corridor, where if you aren’t going 90 you are being passed angrily. Going down this stretch, I kicked the car into mountain mode to build some battery reserve for the big climb through the Grapevine getting into LA. It was 110 degrees on the road, I had the air conditioner on, and was driving 90mph. Not surprisingly running the air conditioner, going 90mph, and generating spare electricity all while keeping the 1.4L engine cool was a challenge. The building of electricity was slower than normal, but it did not complain nor throw warnings of overheating.
TL;DR This a very robust drivetrain and feels great when in electric mode. No worries about running out of gas
SPORT MODE Sport mode has two very distinct feelings. The throttle response is increased, and it takes away the luxury feel of the Cadillac tip-in, instead giving you all the power. It makes the ELR feel quicker, but it is still only 8.8 seconds to 60 which in Honda Fit territory. The odd part is when you are out of electric juice, your engines will work in conjunction with the electric motor. It feels like a turbo lag but it does take a full second off the sprint to 60. Strangely when the engine kicks in, the steering feels a bit more unruly, like there is torque steer. You can force the engine to engage and help you out before you are out of electric juice by using hold or mountain mode, but then you miss out on the suspension improvements. The ride with the adaptive suspension is awesome. The steering is responsive, tight, precise, and while it certainly cannot shine a light to the track racing I have done in the past, it does enhance the car for a bit of fun.
TL;DR adaptive suspension makes a big difference, but this is nowhere near a sports car
GADGETS This car is loaded with lots of toys, and as my pessimistic father it quick to point out: “it is just more things to break.” I happen to enjoy them, love them even, and here are the highlights.
Adaptive cruise control is the best option I put on the car, especially for my mostly highway commuting. The car drives itself, even coming to a complete stop. If it does come to a complete stop, you burp the accelerator and then it resumes normal operation. The system tracks around corners really well and will handle lane changes, and people coming into my lane. The car will automatically brake for me up to what is maximum battery regeneration, with anything faster needing to be done by me. The manual says the car can see 370 feet in front of the vehicle. While some cars have ugly squares of plastic for this radar system, Cadillac cleverly hides theirs behind the plastic (instead of metal) crested badge on the nose. The only problem I have ever had was driving to Tahoe and snow covered the cone, disabling the feature.
Regen on demand is fun, and enables me to drive with one foot a lot of the time. If you haven’t experienced it on the new 2016 Volt or some competitors like the BMW, it is basically a button that engages the heavy regenerative capability of the electric drive unit. Cadillac adds polish to it, having it not suddenly grab like a downshift, but gradually as if I used the brake pedal. This not only provides a fun way to drive once you understand how it performs, but helps me achieve maximum efficiency.
Rain sense is an awesome feature. I love how accurate it is, regardless of drizzle, downpour, or snow it will activate at the right speed.
The lane change alert is not very useful. I can tell when I am drifting over a lane, and more often than not is it annoying. I wish it would add some features to correct steering like the Ford Fusion, or the Tesla autopilot, but that may be asking too much. The new Volt adds correction, call lane change assist, not alert.
Intelligent headlights are a wash for me, they came with the luxury package and I think they are just ok. It is smart enough to shut off when oncoming traffic is coming, or I am gaining on a car in front of me. I only wish the high beams had a slightly higher (more daylight) threshold to turn on. There is a part in the dusk where I want them to come on and they do not.
I really like the rear cross traffic alert and the parking assist. When I am cornered between two Suburbans, I can confidently back out knowing my car will detect any coming traffic. This front and rear ultrasonic sensors displayed in the center cluster are also helpful.
The electronic cup holder is fun. I like the styling of it, and while it certainly is unnecessary it all goes into the vibe of the electric car. Along with this, having a button and no handle for the glove compartment adds to the modern feel (although I have to close it manually). There was a hope the metal-based cup holders were heated or cooled, and it certainly looks like they could be, but sadly they are not.
The hidden compartment under the CUE system is awesome, and fits my iPhone 6 Plus, plugged in, without a case. The integration with CUE is good enough I do not feel I need my phone out while driving, so having it out of my pocket, secure, charging, and playing high quality digital audio is great all while keeping the cabin uncluttered.
The power start up sound is a nice touch. It gives the quiet car a simple way for the user to tell whether the car is on or not. I thought after a year of hearing it, I would get tired of it, but instead it gives me just a little bit of a grin every time.
The interior door handles always amuse me when others try to get out, and I really like not having a handle to pull; it is yet another way the car feels futuristic. The good news is there is an emergency pull by the base of the seat to get out in a power loss situation.
TL;DR Automatic cruise control and rain sense are extremely useful, the rest of the gadgets range from mediocre to awesome but all contribute to a modern feel
CADILLAC USER EXPERIENCE Cadillac’s center console media system has been met with critical review: it is slow, not always consistent in design, and hard to use while moving. I can understand all of these complaints, and I will address them all in this section.
I think CUE is an overall positive experience. For daily use, I think it is a great design and I really like the aesthetic of the system itself. The lack of buttons or knobs looks great when the system is on or off, and I like the feel of the capacitive section of the system. I think the proximity sensors that move the system to a minimalist view when you are no longer interacting with it is a very nice touch. When navigating some deeper screens, like address entry on the GPS, some buttons (back, submit, search, go, etc) are not always in the same spot between views, which causes me to hunt for them. Luckily I am not typically in these screens while driving so there is very little negative impact. There is a very polished energy flow view (much improved over Ford, Prius etc). The only part of the system that is significantly behind others in the space is the GPS, where the graphics and view are – nicely put - not easy on the eyes.
Because there are no buttons, you typically have to look down at the system to interact with it. This means that as you are bouncing down the highway you can miss the screen or the capacitive buttons and end up doing something you don’t want to do. Combine that with a slow response time for some actions, and you can end up being frustrated with the system. Luckily most of what I want to do when I am driving can be done from the steering wheel. I experienced this frustration most in the complimentary rental cars I have driven. The ELR, however, has a unique advantage here: it has a slopped console where the gearshift provides a perfect arm anchor-point for me to accurately interact with CUE. As a passenger in my car I can also rest my arm on this large center console, and since I don’t have to look back at the road right away, pressing the wrong button is not as frustrating.
The system is a bit slow, especially when interacting with GPS or other complex screens. Having worked with Tesla, Ford, Mercedes, BMW systems, I am very familiar with the automotive entertainment systems. Tesla is clearly the front-runner, but the rest of the automotive space leaves a lot to be desired. Cadillac has now announced that their infotainment systems will be disconnected from the rest of the automotive design flow, hopefully making them seem less dated on release. The Germans have all been copying each other (iDrive, Audi, Mercedes) and offer a great interface for media (radio, USB, XM). Ford mySync, designed to be like a tablet, has been wildly popular and has the best GPS view of any system. Also lacking compared to Ford is the built in voice control; CUE is so slow to be almost useless. It is accurate for making phone calls but forget about entering a destination. Luckily they provide a button to activate Siri or Google from the home screen; I just wish I could map this to the steering wheel button instead of CUE’s voice control.
My favorite part of the system is the integration with my smartphone using OnStar. I can remotely start/stop/lock/unlock my car. This is incredibly helpful for maximizing the range of my car, since starting my car uses the power from the wall when plugged in to prep the cabin, drive system, and battery to the proper temperature for driving. This leaves the battery energy for driving. The killer feature though, that no other remote app I have seen has, is the ability to send a destination to the car. I look up where I am going on my smartphone anyway, but now I can send the driving directions to CUE. It is also nice to see when my car is done charging, or locate the car if I have lost it in a parking lot. The only problem I have found with the app, is the push notification settings seem to have stopped working; I am seeing other users complain about it as well. Hopefully it will be fixed in an update, and maybe they will add Apple Watch support like Ford and Tesla.
Some underrated features of CUE are the universal favorites and the radio rewind. Universal favorites allows me to store GPS locations, phone numbers, XM, AM, FM and USB favorites to the same favorites bar. I can change the radio, set my destination to be home, and call my favorites all from the same screen. Customizing this is not straightforward, but once configured it is great. Radio rewind holds the last 30 minutes of live radio broadcast, so for example I can pause the radio and take a phone call and pick up right where I left off after the call. CUE even marks the media information changes so you can skip songs.
TL;DR CUE is much better than in other Cadillacs because of the interior cabin design of the ELR. There are still frustrations but the aesthetics are awesome.
WHY NOT A TESLA I have set aside this section because most people would consider the Tesla Model S the ELR’s closest competitor unlike the cars above. In my consideration of cars, I test drove a used 2013 P85. This is before the dual drive motor came out with the major refresh. Autopilot was just announced and you had to buy it new on a 60, 85, or P85+. GM at the time was running a huge discount on the ELR, so the Tesla I could afford for the same price would have to be used (hopefully 85 or P85), or an entry-level 60. To get it the same level of features, especially with autopilot (which was just announced) the ELR would have the cost advantage. With the rebates GM was running, the fully loaded ELR I got was less expensive than a 60 with autopilot. Looking used, there were very few 60s available, probably because those people are thinking of keeping their cars longer, and the P85s were being replaced for P85+. Unfortunately, because used cars do not apply for the green rebates, I would have to find a Model S for 10 grand below a new one for it to be comparable in price. But when you are looking in this space, cost is less of a factor in buying the car, so I will address the logic other than cost.
The test drive was amazing; it is clear why so many people love their Teslas. I drove the P85 and it was responsive, sure-footed, spacious, and full of tech. It felt to me like a software engineer took a swing at the automobile industry. They were able to shake a lot of conventions off, and do things entirely new. This has its ups and downs. For example a huge plus is the entirely flat floor, making the back middle seat more comfortable. On the other hand, they forgot cup holders. How does an American car company forget something as basic as that? They fixed it in the newer car (2014 at the time) but Tesla charged you for it. Also, things like the cool metal coating in the windshield that helped to reduce glare I learned blocks some toll tags from working. There is also the famous problem with the door handles not coming out when you walk up to the car. Lots of cool things, but there is merit to having over 100 years of automotive engineering.
It felt like all the driving parts of the car were done right but on an 80k car there were things lacking. The seats (which I sat in both performance and standard) felt like they were poor quality. The steering wheel was beautiful, but didn’t feel great. The interesting key shaped like the car even felt like it was flimsy. The media system made up for this. It, and its accompanying readout display, were responsive, crisp, and beautiful. I don’t know why I need to surf the web when I am driving, but I can if I want.
So what was the Tesla’s Achilles heel? It doesn’t have a gas engine. In my current lifestyle and location, the Tesla fits perfectly. I have a place to charge it reliably, and I have superchargers to get all over the US. The problem though is, as my only car, I did not want to get locked into another all-electric. While this electric was way better than my Ford and could handle 99.9% of my cases, the .1% had me concerned for buying a car that should last me 5-10 years. In my current job, I may have to move around the US or the world. I may end up having to live in an apartment with no charging, or in a city with no supercharger. That is where the ELR takes the cake, I get a luxury vehicle that can take advantage of the electricity I have now, but won’t hinder me if that is taken away.
TL;DR Model S is a software engineers take on the car for better or worse, but mostly better. After being burned by having an all-electric as my only car and a variable life plan, the ELR with the gas engine provides more flexibility and peace of mind.
SUMMARY The ELR is an amazing car, unfortunately released in the wrong order from its sibling: the volt, and priced uncomfortably close to the Tesla. This masterful, beautifully engineered machine has brought me much happiness. It is a great young-mans’ car for the eco-conscious, unfortunately it was priced a little to high for most buyers. Overall a fantastic job by Cadillac.
Here are some photos I have of the car over time:
submitted by amgsmdy to ELR [link] [comments]


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